2024 ACC tournament site: Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
2024 ACC tournament dates: March 12th-16th, 2024
These 2024 ACC tournament advancement odds and average projected seeds are based on our projected conference standings.
Seed | Team | R2 | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
The 2024 ACC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2024 ACC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the ACC tournament championship for every team in the 2024 ACC bracket.
Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
Duke | 0 | 1 | 14.3 | 5.7 | 22.5 | 8.5 | 25.0% | 25.3% |
Virginia | 1 | 0 | 14.2 | 5.8 | 23.6 | 7.4 | 20.5% | 14.7% |
N Carolina | 1 | 0 | 13.9 | 6.1 | 21.8 | 9.2 | 19.3% | 19.3% |
Clemson | 1 | 0 | 13.8 | 6.2 | 23.6 | 7.4 | 19.6% | 15.6% |
Miami | 1 | 0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 21.3 | 9.7 | 6.4% | 7.4% |
Pittsburgh | 0 | 1 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 19.5 | 11.5 | 2.5% | 5.7% |
VA Tech | 1 | 0 | 10.8 | 9.2 | 18.5 | 12.5 | 2.4% | 3.4% |
NC State | 1 | 0 | 10.7 | 9.3 | 18.7 | 12.3 | 2.4% | 3.4% |
Florida St | 0 | 1 | 9.8 | 10.2 | 17.9 | 13.1 | 1.2% | 2.8% |
Wake Forest | 0 | 0 | 8.3 | 11.7 | 15.7 | 15.3 | 0.4% | 1.1% |
Syracuse | 0 | 1 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 15.8 | 15.2 | 0.1% | 0.7% |
GA Tech | 1 | 0 | 7.5 | 12.5 | 12.4 | 16.6 | 0.1% | 0.3% |
Boston Col | 0 | 1 | 7.1 | 12.9 | 15.2 | 15.8 | 0.0% | 0.3% |
Louisville | 0 | 1 | 4.4 | 15.6 | 10.4 | 20.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Notre Dame | 0 | 1 | 4.2 | 15.8 | 10.2 | 20.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The 2024 ACC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2024 ACC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the ACC tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2024 ACC Tournament depend only partly on their ACC bracket seed. Winning the ACC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2024 ACC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better ACC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the ACC Tournament championship than a team with a worse ACC tournament seed.
In addition, because ACC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in ACC conference games, ACC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the ACC bracket can have better odds to win the 2024 ACC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the ACC bracket.
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