Sample of our 2022-23 NFL betting picks

Our premium NFL predictions and picks are driven by computer models that analyze millions of data points.

We use a variety of statistical techniques to predict games, including decision trees, similarity scores, and power ratings.

We publish a game winner, point spread, over/under and money line value pick for all NFL games, plus win odds for each pick.

Finally, we provide full transparency with our prediction accuracy reports, which track our historical pick performance.

The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:

Day Status TR Pick Opp/Game Value Score Value Similar Games Decision Tree Power Rating
9/15 -- LAY OFF LAC at KC -- -- KC +5.6% LAC +3.1% KC +9.2%
9/18 Right 275 New England -155 at Pittsburgh 3.3% PIT +1.7% PIT +2.9% PIT +23.1%
9/18 Wrong 272 New Orleans +124 vs Tampa Bay 3.5% NO +0.8% NO +1.6% TB +15.0%
9/18 -- LAY OFF WAS at DET -- -- WAS +2.2% Lay Off DET +1.0%
9/18 Wrong 264 Baltimore -164 vs Miami 1.8% MIA +2.2% BAL +1.2% MIA +15.8%
9/18 -- LAY OFF CAR at NYG -- -- Lay Off NYG +3.6% NYG +11.3%
9/18 -- LAY OFF IND at JAC -- -- JAC +5.8% Lay Off IND +6.2%
9/18 Right 265 NY Jets +220 at Cleveland 2.6% CLE +1.8% NYJ +1.1% CLE +2.9%
9/18 -- LAY OFF SEA at SF -- -- SEA +4.3% SEA +2.7% SEA +21.2%
9/18 -- LAY OFF ATL at LAR -- -- LAR +0.7% Lay Off ATL +7.7%
9/18 -- LAY OFF HOU at DEN -- -- DEN +3.0% HOU +2.7% HOU +12.5%
9/18 Right 285 Arizona +197 at Las Vegas 0.0% LV +4.9% ARI +5.6% LV +0.6%
9/18 -- LAY OFF CIN at DAL -- -- DAL +9.5% DAL +2.6% DAL +19.8%
9/18 -- LAY OFF CHI at GB -- -- CHI +18.4% CHI +5.5% CHI +34.3%
9/19 -- LAY OFF TEN at BUF -- -- TEN +0.9% TEN +2.3% BUF +4.7%
9/19 Right 292 Philadelphia -145 vs Minnesota 2.5% PHI +1.8% PHI +0.9% MIN +18.4%