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Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.
Rank | Rating | Team | Proj W | Proj L | SOS Rank | Luck Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 32.1 |
Alabama (4-0)
|
10.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 37 |
2 | 30.1 |
Ohio St (4-0)
|
11.1 | 0.9 | 55 | 67 |
3 | 30.1 |
Georgia (3-1)
|
9.4 | 2.6 | 1 | 73 |
4 | 29.2 |
Tennessee (4-0)
|
10.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 47 |
5 | 28.9 |
Texas (5-0)
|
10.8 | 1.2 | 19 | 57 |
6 | 25.4 |
Mississippi (4-1)
|
9.3 | 2.7 | 35 | 120 |
7 | 22.0 |
Miami (5-0)
|
10.9 | 1.1 | 27 | 39 |
8 | 21.5 |
Notre Dame (4-1)
|
10.1 | 1.9 | 8 | 89 |
9 | 20.8 |
Penn St (4-0)
|
10.2 | 1.8 | 26 | 41 |
10 | 19.0 |
Oregon (5-0)
|
10.2 | 1.8 | 34 | 27 |
11 | 18.6 |
Clemson (3-1)
|
9.4 | 2.6 | 6 | 76 |
12 | 17.4 |
Louisville (3-1)
|
8.4 | 3.6 | 9 | 80 |
13 | 17.0 |
USC (3-1)
|
8.5 | 3.5 | 7 | 69 |
14 | 16.9 |
Oklahoma (4-1)
|
7.3 | 4.7 | 5 | 35 |
15 | 16.0 |
LSU (4-1)
|
7.7 | 4.3 | 13 | 56 |
16 | 14.8 |
Kansas St (4-1)
|
8.9 | 3.1 | 11 | 40 |
17 | 14.7 |
Iowa St (4-0)
|
9.5 | 2.5 | 33 | 19 |
18 | 14.6 |
Missouri (4-0)
|
8.8 | 3.2 | 65 | 43 |
19 | 14.3 |
Indiana (5-0)
|
9.8 | 2.2 | 69 | 31 |
20 | 14.0 |
Texas A&M (4-1)
|
8.1 | 3.9 | 10 | 28 |
21 | 13.3 |
Kentucky (3-2)
|
6.8 | 5.2 | 3 | 60 |
22 | 12.8 |
S Methodist (4-1)
|
8.9 | 3.1 | 48 | 78 |
23 | 12.5 |
Iowa (3-1)
|
8.3 | 3.7 | 37 | 81 |
24 | 12.3 |
S Carolina (3-1)
|
6.6 | 5.4 | 16 | 52 |
25 | 11.8 |
Michigan (4-1)
|
7.7 | 4.3 | 12 | 15 |
26 | 11.6 |
UNLV (4-1)
|
10.0 | 2.0 | 49 | 66 |
27 | 11.5 |
Utah (4-1)
|
8.2 | 3.8 | 43 | 62 |
28 | 11.1 |
Boise St (3-1)
|
9.9 | 2.1 | 30 | 58 |
29 | 10.9 |
BYU (5-0)
|
9.3 | 2.7 | 22 | 1 |
30 | 10.1 |
Tulane (3-2)
|
8.9 | 3.1 | 21 | 94 |
31 | 9.7 |
Arkansas (3-2)
|
5.9 | 6.1 | 23 | 91 |
32 | 9.5 |
Oklahoma St (3-2)
|
7.0 | 5.0 | 28 | 98 |
33 | 8.9 |
VA Tech (2-3)
|
6.3 | 5.7 | 20 | 125 |
34 | 8.6 |
Nebraska (4-1)
|
7.1 | 4.9 | 70 | 77 |
35 | 8.5 |
UCF (3-1)
|
7.1 | 4.9 | 56 | 75 |
36 | 8.5 |
Auburn (2-3)
|
4.8 | 7.2 | 44 | 133 |
37 | 7.6 |
Illinois (4-1)
|
8.1 | 3.9 | 31 | 9 |
38 | 7.5 |
Maryland (3-2)
|
6.0 | 6.0 | 45 | 104 |
39 | 7.5 |
Florida (2-2)
|
4.1 | 7.9 | 18 | 96 |
40 | 6.9 |
Rutgers (4-0)
|
8.2 | 3.8 | 63 | 7 |
41 | 6.9 |
GA Tech (3-2)
|
5.8 | 6.2 | 38 | 92 |
42 | 6.6 |
Kansas (1-4)
|
4.2 | 7.8 | 25 | 134 |
43 | 6.5 |
Boston Col (4-1)
|
7.5 | 4.5 | 42 | 18 |
44 | 6.4 |
W Virginia (2-2)
|
5.5 | 6.5 | 24 | 90 |
45 | 6.0 |
Colorado (4-1)
|
7.1 | 4.9 | 40 | 11 |
46 | 5.8 |
James Mad (4-0)
|
10.7 | 1.3 | 91 | 21 |
47 | 5.8 |
TX Christian (3-3)
|
5.8 | 6.2 | 32 | 110 |
48 | 5.7 |
Cincinnati (3-2)
|
6.0 | 6.0 | 58 | 107 |
49 | 5.6 |
Washington (3-2)
|
5.2 | 6.8 | 66 | 113 |
50 | 5.6 |
Texas Tech (4-1)
|
7.1 | 4.9 | 57 | 24 |
51 | 5.3 |
Arizona (3-1)
|
7.0 | 5.0 | 39 | 25 |
52 | 5.0 |
Pittsburgh (4-0)
|
7.5 | 4.5 | 72 | 6 |
53 | 5.0 |
Baylor (2-3)
|
5.1 | 6.9 | 41 | 124 |
54 | 4.9 |
Minnesota (2-3)
|
4.8 | 7.2 | 52 | 129 |
55 | 4.3 |
Memphis (4-1)
|
9.2 | 2.8 | 80 | 55 |
56 | 4.1 |
Arizona St (3-1)
|
6.0 | 6.0 | 59 | 38 |
57 | 3.8 |
Florida St (1-4)
|
3.9 | 8.1 | 17 | 130 |
58 | 3.7 |
California (3-1)
|
7.0 | 5.0 | 62 | 42 |
59 | 3.5 |
Syracuse (4-1)
|
7.0 | 5.0 | 61 | 16 |
60 | 3.2 |
Wash State (4-1)
|
9.6 | 2.4 | 53 | 8 |
61 | 2.4 |
Wisconsin (2-2)
|
5.0 | 7.0 | 36 | 70 |
62 | 1.8 |
N Carolina (3-2)
|
6.4 | 5.6 | 67 | 85 |
63 | 1.7 |
Army (4-0)
|
9.4 | 2.6 | 121 | 30 |
64 | 1.5 |
Michigan St (3-3)
|
5.2 | 6.8 | 29 | 33 |
65 | 1.1 |
Navy (4-0)
|
8.5 | 3.5 | 104 | 13 |
66 | 1.1 |
Duke (5-0)
|
7.5 | 4.5 | 87 | 3 |
67 | 1.0 |
Vanderbilt (2-2)
|
3.9 | 8.1 | 64 | 99 |
68 | 0.8 |
Texas St (3-2)
|
8.2 | 3.8 | 90 | 114 |
69 | 0.5 |
Toledo (3-1)
|
9.0 | 3.0 | 97 | 72 |
70 | 0.4 |
Houston (2-4)
|
3.7 | 8.3 | 15 | 71 |
71 | 0.2 |
S Alabama (2-3)
|
7.1 | 4.9 | 76 | 128 |
72 | -0.5 |
NC State (3-2)
|
6.2 | 5.8 | 60 | 36 |
73 | -0.8 |
Stanford (2-2)
|
4.8 | 7.2 | 46 | 49 |
74 | -1.0 |
Louisiana (3-1)
|
8.5 | 3.5 | 89 | 48 |
75 | -1.0 |
Virginia (3-1)
|
4.8 | 7.2 | 77 | 22 |
76 | -1.1 |
Oregon St (3-1)
|
7.2 | 4.8 | 83 | 34 |
77 | -1.7 |
S Florida (2-3)
|
6.7 | 5.3 | 50 | 79 |
78 | -1.7 |
Bowling Grn (1-3)
|
6.9 | 5.1 | 54 | 121 |
79 | -2.2 |
Miss State (1-4)
|
2.6 | 9.4 | 51 | 126 |
80 | -2.2 |
UCLA (1-3)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 14 | 74 |
81 | -2.3 |
Liberty (4-0)
|
9.3 | 1.7 | 133 | 26 |
82 | -2.3 |
N Illinois (2-2)
|
7.7 | 4.3 | 78 | 95 |
83 | -2.5 |
Connecticut (3-2)
|
8.0 | 4.0 | 86 | 84 |
84 | -3.3 |
W Kentucky (3-2)
|
8.2 | 3.8 | 71 | 29 |
85 | -4.1 |
Wake Forest (1-3)
|
3.3 | 8.7 | 75 | 123 |
86 | -4.4 |
Northwestern (2-2)
|
3.7 | 8.3 | 85 | 88 |
87 | -4.4 |
North Texas (4-1)
|
7.5 | 4.5 | 100 | 10 |
88 | -4.4 |
Fresno St (3-2)
|
7.2 | 4.8 | 88 | 63 |
89 | -5.0 |
Marshall (2-2)
|
6.7 | 5.3 | 73 | 54 |
90 | -5.2 |
E Carolina (3-2)
|
7.1 | 4.9 | 105 | 86 |
91 | -5.4 |
Sam Hous St (5-1)
|
8.9 | 3.1 | 96 | 2 |
92 | -5.8 |
GA Southern (3-2)
|
6.3 | 5.7 | 79 | 23 |
93 | -6.1 |
Coastal Car (3-1)
|
7.0 | 5.0 | 115 | 44 |
94 | -6.4 |
Old Dominion (1-3)
|
4.9 | 7.1 | 47 | 82 |
95 | -6.5 |
Miami (OH) (1-3)
|
5.7 | 6.3 | 68 | 111 |
96 | -6.9 |
Jksnville St (2-3)
|
6.4 | 5.6 | 103 | 122 |
97 | -7.6 |
San Jose St (3-1)
|
6.3 | 5.7 | 122 | 46 |
98 | -8.5 |
Purdue (1-3)
|
2.1 | 9.9 | 74 | 103 |
99 | -8.6 |
App State (2-2)
|
4.8 | 6.2 | 82 | 45 |
100 | -9.6 |
Ohio (3-2)
|
7.1 | 4.9 | 93 | 17 |
101 | -9.7 |
Rice (1-4)
|
3.2 | 8.8 | 110 | 132 |
102 | -9.8 |
E Michigan (4-1)
|
7.8 | 4.2 | 127 | 14 |
103 | -10.2 |
Hawaii (2-2)
|
5.1 | 6.9 | 126 | 109 |
104 | -10.6 |
UTSA (2-3)
|
5.2 | 6.8 | 106 | 100 |
105 | -10.8 |
W Michigan (1-3)
|
5.7 | 6.3 | 84 | 102 |
106 | -11.1 |
Fla Atlantic (2-3)
|
5.3 | 6.7 | 102 | 87 |
107 | -11.4 |
Nevada (2-3)
|
4.7 | 8.3 | 92 | 65 |
108 | -11.4 |
Troy (1-5)
|
3.3 | 8.7 | 99 | 131 |
109 | -12.1 |
UAB (1-3)
|
3.5 | 8.5 | 109 | 116 |
110 | -12.2 |
San Diego St (1-3)
|
4.2 | 7.8 | 111 | 118 |
111 | -12.6 |
Arkansas St (2-2)
|
5.2 | 6.8 | 101 | 32 |
112 | -12.6 |
Colorado St (2-2)
|
5.8 | 6.2 | 112 | 53 |
113 | -12.8 |
UL Monroe (3-1)
|
5.2 | 6.8 | 114 | 4 |
114 | -13.7 |
Central Mich (3-2)
|
5.1 | 6.9 | 131 | 51 |
115 | -14.3 |
Florida Intl (2-3)
|
5.7 | 6.3 | 120 | 97 |
116 | -14.8 |
Charlotte (2-3)
|
3.6 | 8.4 | 81 | 12 |
117 | -14.9 |
Buffalo (3-2)
|
6.5 | 5.5 | 113 | 5 |
118 | -15.0 |
Air Force (1-3)
|
3.6 | 8.4 | 123 | 119 |
119 | -15.0 |
Georgia St (2-2)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 107 | 20 |
120 | -15.7 |
Wyoming (1-4)
|
3.3 | 8.7 | 95 | 101 |
121 | -16.6 |
Utah St (1-3)
|
3.4 | 8.6 | 116 | 106 |
122 | -17.0 |
LA Tech (1-3)
|
4.5 | 7.5 | 129 | 117 |
123 | -17.2 |
Tulsa (2-3)
|
4.1 | 7.9 | 124 | 64 |
124 | -19.6 |
Middle Tenn (1-4)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 98 | 68 |
125 | -20.2 |
New Mexico (1-4)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 119 | 105 |
126 | -20.4 |
S Mississippi (1-3)
|
2.4 | 9.6 | 118 | 83 |
127 | -21.0 |
Temple (1-4)
|
2.3 | 9.7 | 94 | 50 |
128 | -21.7 |
Akron (1-4)
|
2.7 | 9.3 | 108 | 61 |
129 | -22.4 |
TX El Paso (0-5)
|
2.5 | 9.5 | 117 | 127 |
130 | -22.8 |
U Mass (1-4)
|
2.1 | 9.9 | 132 | 108 |
131 | -24.3 |
Ball St (1-3)
|
2.5 | 9.5 | 125 | 59 |
132 | -25.1 |
N Mex State (1-4)
|
2.5 | 9.5 | 134 | 93 |
133 | -29.4 |
Kent St (0-5)
|
1.2 | 10.8 | 130 | 115 |
134 | -29.6 |
Kennesaw St (0-5)
|
0.9 | 11.1 | 128 | 112 |
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