Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 28.1
Michigan (21-1)
27.9 3.1 100.0% 22.2%
2 26.0
Duke (21-1)
28.2 2.8 100.0% 13.3%
3 25.3
Arizona (22-0)
28.7 2.3 100.0% 11.1%
4 24.3
Iowa St (20-2)
26.7 4.3 100.0% 7.7%
5 23.6
Houston (20-2)
26.5 4.5 100.0% 6.5%
6 23.4
Purdue (18-4)
24.4 6.6 100.0% 5.5%
7 23.4
Illinois (20-3)
26.0 5.0 100.0% 5.7%
8 22.6
Florida (16-6)
22.6 8.4 100.0% 3.9%
9 22.1
Gonzaga (22-2)
28.2 2.8 100.0% 2.8%
10 21.8
UConn (22-2)
27.8 3.2 100.0% 3.5%
11 20.9
23.7 7.3 100.0% 2.0%
12 20.5
Vanderbilt (19-3)
25.0 6.0 100.0% 2.0%
13 20.3
Kansas (17-5)
22.7 8.3 100.0% 1.7%
14 20.2
Louisville (16-6)
22.3 8.7 99.9% 1.3%
15 19.9
St John's (18-5)
24.1 6.9 100.0% 1.4%
16 19.5
Tennessee (16-6)
21.9 9.1 100.0% 1.1%
17 19.5
Alabama (15-7)
20.9 10.1 100.0% 1.0%
18 19.5
BYU (17-5)
22.5 8.5 100.0% 1.0%
19 19.1
Nebraska (20-2)
26.4 4.6 100.0% 1.1%
20 18.7
Texas Tech (16-6)
21.7 9.3 100.0% 0.7%
21 18.5
Arkansas (16-6)
21.5 9.5 100.0% 0.6%
22 18.4
Iowa (17-5)
22.5 8.5 97.4% 0.5%
23 18.2
Kentucky (16-7)
20.1 10.9 99.7% 0.4%
24 17.7
NC State (17-6)
21.9 9.1 100.0% 0.4%
25 17.6
Virginia (19-3)
25.2 5.8 98.8% 0.5%
26 17.2
29.1 1.9 86.9% 0.4%
27 17.1
Auburn (14-8)
19.2 11.8 98.7% 0.3%
28 16.9 22.8 8.2 99.9% 0.3%
29 16.5
Georgia (16-6)
20.8 10.2 84.6% 0.1%
30 16.5
Texas A&M (17-5)
21.9 9.1 66.9% 0.1%
31 16.2
Indiana (15-8)
19.4 11.6 93.0% 0.1%
32 16.0
Utah St (19-3)
26.1 4.9 98.4% 0.2%
33 15.6
Texas (14-9)
18.2 12.8 51.5% 0.1%
34 15.5
Ohio St (15-7)
19.2 11.8 92.6% 0.1%
35 15.3
Clemson (19-4)
23.7 7.3 94.7% 0.1%

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