Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 22.2
Houston (9-0)
29.1 1.9 99.8% 14.8%
2 21.5
Tennessee (8-1)
25.6 5.4 99.9% 12.6%
3 21.0
27.7 3.3 99.8% 10.8%
4 18.9
Gonzaga (6-3)
25.7 5.3 99.5% 5.4%
5 18.5
Purdue (9-0)
25.4 5.6 99.9% 5.3%
6 18.4
Texas (6-1)
23.2 7.8 98.7% 5.0%
7 18.3
Indiana (8-1)
23.3 7.7 99.2% 4.6%
8 18.0
UCLA (7-2)
24.0 7.0 98.5% 3.8%
9 17.7
Alabama (7-1)
22.8 8.2 99.9% 4.0%
10 17.2
Kentucky (6-2)
22.2 8.8 89.3% 2.9%
11 17.1
Baylor (7-2)
21.8 9.2 99.1% 3.1%
12 17.1
Illinois (7-2)
22.9 8.1 95.4% 2.8%
13 16.8
Duke (9-2)
24.2 6.8 98.3% 2.4%
14 16.0
Arizona (7-1)
24.0 7.0 94.9% 1.9%
15 15.8
Kansas (8-1)
20.9 10.1 98.8% 1.8%
16 15.6
Virginia (8-0)
23.7 5.3 95.1% 1.8%
17 15.3
Maryland (8-1)
22.1 8.9 95.4% 1.4%
18 15.2
Arkansas (8-1)
21.9 9.1 95.5% 1.4%
19 15.1
Auburn (8-0)
22.5 8.5 97.7% 1.4%
20 15.1
Xavier (6-3)
21.0 10.0 94.2% 1.1%
21 14.9
Iowa (6-2)
20.6 10.4 88.4% 1.1%
22 14.8 19.7 11.3 90.1% 1.0%
23 14.8 20.0 11.0 94.7% 1.1%
24 14.5
Rutgers (6-2)
20.7 10.3 82.1% 0.9%
25 14.4
Creighton (6-3)
20.4 10.6 88.9% 0.8%
26 14.3 20.5 10.5 96.2% 0.8%
27 13.6
St Marys (7-3)
22.4 7.6 84.8% 0.5%
28 13.1 19.4 11.6 80.9% 0.5%
29 13.0 22.2 8.8 60.5% 0.5%
30 12.8 18.9 12.1 57.6% 0.4%
31 12.8 23.7 5.3 85.1% 0.5%
32 12.3
Memphis (7-2)
22.2 8.8 65.5% 0.3%
33 12.2 21.8 8.2 85.9% 0.3%
34 12.0 16.7 14.3 74.8% 0.2%
35 12.0
VA Tech (9-1)
22.4 8.6 63.0% 0.2%

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