Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 24.7
Gonzaga (14-2)
26.2 2.8 99.9% 20.9%
2 22.2
Arizona (14-1)
27.7 3.3 100.0% 11.1%
3 21.2
Purdue (15-2)
25.6 5.4 100.0% 8.0%
4 20.6
Baylor (16-2)
25.1 5.9 100.0% 6.8%
5 20.4
Villanova (13-4)
24.7 6.3 100.0% 6.5%
6 20.3
Kentucky (14-3)
24.6 7.4 99.8% 5.6%
7 19.9
Kansas (15-2)
24.0 6.0 100.0% 5.7%
8 19.9
Houston (16-2)
26.2 3.8 99.6% 4.9%
9 19.7
Auburn (16-1)
27.1 3.9 100.0% 5.3%
10 19.2
Illinois (13-4)
22.1 7.9 100.0% 3.8%
11 18.9
LSU (15-2)
25.2 5.8 100.0% 3.7%
12 18.3
Duke (14-3)
25.1 5.9 97.8% 2.5%
13 17.7
UCLA (11-2)
23.1 5.9 97.4% 2.3%
14 17.1
Tennessee (12-5)
20.9 9.1 99.6% 1.5%
15 16.5
Alabama (11-6)
19.9 11.1 100.0% 1.2%
16 16.5
22.3 8.7 97.4% 1.2%
17 16.4
Texas Tech (14-4)
22.0 9.0 96.6% 1.2%
18 15.9
Texas (13-5)
19.9 11.1 79.5% 0.7%
19 15.8
Xavier (13-3)
23.3 7.7 99.6% 1.0%
20 15.7
Iowa (13-4)
22.0 9.0 83.7% 0.6%
21 15.1
Ohio State (12-4)
19.9 9.1 99.6% 0.7%
22 15.0
Seton Hall (11-5)
20.4 9.6 91.2% 0.6%
23 14.5
Michigan (8-7)
15.8 14.2 91.2% 0.4%
24 14.5
Indiana (13-4)
20.2 9.8 80.6% 0.4%
25 14.4
21.0 10.0 99.6% 0.5%
26 14.2
USC (14-2)
22.8 7.2 80.1% 0.4%
27 14.0
Florida (10-6)
19.5 11.5 59.8% 0.2%
28 13.7
VA Tech (9-7)
19.6 11.4 31.8% 0.1%
29 13.2
Oklahoma (12-6)
18.0 13.0 79.6% 0.2%
30 13.2
Wisconsin (15-2)
22.6 7.4 100.0% 0.3%
31 13.2
Loyola-Chi (14-2)
24.4 4.6 54.9% 0.1%
32 13.1
Arkansas (13-5)
19.9 11.1 54.4% 0.1%
33 12.9
N Carolina (12-5)
20.7 10.3 84.7% 0.2%
34 12.7
Memphis (9-7)
17.1 10.9 55.8% 0.1%
35 12.3 15.7 14.3 0.0% 0.0%

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