Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L Playoffs Win SB
1 10.2
Buffalo (9-3)
12.8 4.2 99.7% 27.7%
2 7.3
Dallas (9-3)
12.6 4.4 99.9% 13.0%
3 6.8 12.8 4.2 100.0% 13.4%
4 5.6 14.3 2.7 100.0% 14.4%
5 4.9 11.4 5.6 97.5% 7.9%
6 4.2 10.7 6.3 90.3% 4.7%
7 4.1
Baltimore (8-4)
11.2 5.8 95.4% 4.9%
8 1.9 8.4 8.6 31.4% 0.8%
9 1.5
Minnesota (10-2)
13.0 4.0 100.0% 4.2%
10 1.5
Miami (8-4)
10.3 6.7 79.3% 1.9%
11 1.2
Tampa Bay (6-6)
8.7 8.3 85.8% 2.2%
12 0.9
NY Jets (7-5)
9.4 7.6 56.4% 1.0%
13 0.5
Green Bay (5-8)
7.2 9.8 4.6% 0.1%
14 -0.3
Tennessee (7-5)
9.7 7.3 94.9% 1.3%
15 -0.7
Cleveland (5-7)
7.3 9.7 4.1% 0.1%
16 -0.7
Las Vegas (5-7)
7.2 9.8 6.0% 0.1%
17 -0.8 8.6 8.4 33.6% 0.4%
18 -1.5
Detroit (5-7)
7.4 9.6 7.0% 0.1%
19 -1.5
Washington (7-5-1)
8.7 7.3 61.8% 0.6%
20 -1.6
Seattle (7-5)
9.2 7.8 62.3% 0.6%
21 -1.9 5.9 11.1 1.0% 0.0%
22 -1.9
Denver (3-9)
5.1 11.9 0.0% 0.0%
23 -2.0
LA Rams (3-9)
5.3 11.7 0.1% 0.0%
24 -2.4
NY Giants (7-4-1)
8.9 7.1 65.1% 0.5%
25 -2.8 7.1 9.9 3.1% 0.0%
26 -2.9
Arizona (4-8)
6.0 11.0 0.4% 0.0%
27 -2.9 6.1 10.9 5.0% 0.0%
28 -3.9
Carolina (4-8)
6.1 10.9 9.4% 0.1%
29 -3.9
Indianapolis (4-8-1)
5.9 10.1 0.9% 0.0%
30 -4.8
Atlanta (5-8)
6.5 10.5 5.2% 0.0%
31 -5.2
Chicago (3-10)
4.1 12.9 0.0% 0.0%
32 -9.1
Houston (1-10-1)
2.1 13.9 0.0% 0.0%