Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Houston (30-4)
 100% 82% 42% 14%
1 2
Purdue (29-4)
 100% 76% 36% 12%
1 3
Connecticut (31-3)
 100% 79% 41% 15%
1 4
Tennessee (24-8)
 100% 68% 24% 6%
2 5
Iowa St (27-7)
 100% 68% 26% 8%
2 6
Arizona (25-8)
 100% 74% 31% 11%
2 7
N Carolina (27-7)
 100% 62% 16% 3%
2 8
Baylor (23-10)
 100% 57% 11% 2%
3 9
Auburn (26-7)
 100% 71% 25% 7%
3 10
Creighton (23-9)
 100% 58% 13% 3%
3 11
Illinois (25-8)
 100% 60% 14% 3%
3 12
Marquette (25-9)
 100% 57% 11% 2%
4 13
Kansas (22-10)
 100% 49% 8% 1%
4 14
Kentucky (23-9)
 100% 44% 7% 1%
4 15
S Carolina (26-7)
 87% 19% 1% 0%
4 16
BYU (23-10)
 98% 44% 9% 1%
5 17
Texas Tech (23-10)
 100% 35% 4% 0%
5 18
Alabama (21-11)
 100% 49% 12% 2%
5 19
Nevada (26-7)
 98% 23% 2% 0%
5 20
Duke (24-8)
 98% 43% 10% 2%
6 21
Utah St (27-6)
 99% 17% 1% 0%
6 22
St Marys (26-7)
 100% 33% 6% 1%
6 23
Wash State (24-9)
 91% 15% 1% 0%
6 24
Nebraska (23-10)
 99% 18% 2% 0%
7 25
Wisconsin (22-12)
 100% 30% 6% 1%
7 26
Dayton (24-7)
 95% 14% 1% 0%
7 27
Gonzaga (25-7)
 100% 30% 6% 1%
7 28
Boise St (22-10)
 99% 13% 1% 0%
8 29
Florida (24-10)
 100% 22% 3% 0%
8 30
New Mexico (26-9)
 100% 20% 3% 0%
8 31
Drake (28-6)
 100% 10% 1% 0%
8 32
Texas (20-12)
 93% 18% 3% 0%
9 33
San Diego St (24-10)
 100% 16% 2% 0%
9 34
Clemson (21-11)
 100% 15% 2% 0%
9 35
Fla Atlantic (25-8)
 78% 11% 1% 0%
9 36
Colorado St (24-10)
 92% 8% 1% 0%
10 37
Texas A&M (20-14)
 96% 11% 1% 0%
10 38
TX Christian (21-12)
 93% 15% 2% 0%
10 39
Oregon (23-11)
 100% 14% 1% 0%
10 40
Seton Hall (20-12)
 82% 6% 0% 0%
11 41
Michigan St (19-14)
 94% 21% 4% 0%
11 42
Miss State (21-13)
 92% 15% 2% 0%
11 43
Grd Canyon (29-4)
 100% 8% 0% 0%
11 44
Kansas St (19-14)
 71% 5% 0% 0%
11 45
St Johns (20-13)
 67% 11% 1% 0%
11 46
Yale (21-9)
 80% 5% 0% 0%
12 47
VCU (22-12)
 53% 3% 0% 0%
12 48
UAB (22-11)
 68% 2% 0% 0%
12 49
Vermont (28-6)
 100% 3% 0% 0%
12 50
Samford (29-5)
 100% 5% 0% 0%
13 51
NC State (22-14)
 100% 15% 1% 0%
13 52
James Mad (31-3)
 100% 11% 1% 0%
13 53
Col Charlestn (27-7)
 100% 4% 0% 0%
13 54
Akron (24-10)
 100% 3% 0% 0%
14 55
McNeese St (30-3)
 100% 5% 0% 0%
14 56
Oakland (23-11)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
14 57
Lg Beach St (21-14)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
14 58
Colgate (25-9)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
15 59
W Kentucky (22-11)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
15 60
Morehead St (26-8)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
15 61
Longwood (21-13)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
15 62
Stetson (22-12)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 63
St Peters (19-13)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 64
Wagner (16-15)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 65
Grambling St (20-14)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 66
Montana St (17-17)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 67
S Dakota St (22-12)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
16 68
Howard (18-16)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (23-11)
 48% 2% 0% 0%
Providence (21-13)
 44% 5% 0% 0%
Colorado (24-10)
 34% 7% 1% 0%
Northwestern (21-11)
 33% 4% 0% 0%
Indiana (19-14)
 33% 1% 0% 0%
Temple (16-19)
 32% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (13-17)
 20% 0% 0% 0%
Syracuse (20-12)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Virginia (23-10)
 8% 1% 0% 0%
Indiana St (28-6)
 6% 1% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (20-14)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (19-14)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma (20-12)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (19-12)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Villanova (18-15)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio St (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Iowa (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (23-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (22-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (24-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-Chi (23-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
VA Tech (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCF (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (19-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida St (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (19-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Josephs (21-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (20-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (24-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Irvine (24-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (22-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Xavier (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
App State (27-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hofstra (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Tech (22-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (21-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia St (14-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (14-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCLA (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (12-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UL Monroe (11-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Marys (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (12-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Francisco (23-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC Central (18-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (1-31)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Methodist (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCSD (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kent St (17-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (12-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (19-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Asheville (22-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (17-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Penn St (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Louisville (8-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (7-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stonehill (4-27)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Prairie View (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jksnville St (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Toledo (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (12-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (12-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Ark (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (16-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bellarmine (8-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri (8-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incar Word (8-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Valley (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hsn Christian (6-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Louis (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (20-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (16-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (21-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (18-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma St (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX A&M-CC (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (22-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (11-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wright St (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX Southern (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
AR Lit Rock (21-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn St (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (18-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (4-27)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Louisiana (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ball St (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (10-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Conn (20-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Texas (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas City (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (17-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (21-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Mex State (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho St (14-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (10-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Weber St (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (23-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Point (25-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Le Moyne (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas St (17-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Washingtn (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (3-29)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
VMI (4-28)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
U Penn (11-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ste F Austin (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Baptist (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mass Lowell (22-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (20-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (10-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Harvard (14-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (22-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Iona (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (6-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (6-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (12-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (18-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (20-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St. Thomas (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (20-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LSU (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Val St (1-30)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX A&M-Com (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (11-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UTSA (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tarleton St (23-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (OH) (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wichita St (15-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Grn (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rutgers (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (PA) (8-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (24-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (9-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nicholls (20-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (6-26)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Abl Christian (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin St (2-27)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (4-28)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sam Hous St (21-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (6-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (16-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (19-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (6-26)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Army (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Old Dominion (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
American (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (10-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Michigan (8-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lindenwood (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (20-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LIU (7-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Tech (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Furman (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (9-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Liberty (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (21-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (22-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Queens (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (19-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
USC (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Virginia (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
California (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (10-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona St (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (20-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (21-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (13-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (9-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charl South (10-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (15-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (7-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (16-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland BC (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (4-28)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northeastrn (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Indiana (8-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%

NOTE: The WAC is using a creative new method to seed its conference tournament this season. Seeding will be based on the NET and KenPom, and will evaluate a team's performance against their entire schedule, not just their conference games. For now, our projections will simply seed teams based on projected conference record. Later in the season, as we see how this all plays out, we may make some adjustments.