Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Michigan (24-1)
 100% 88% 53% 26%
1 2
Duke (24-2)
 100% 83% 40% 14%
1 3
Arizona (23-2)
 100% 80% 34% 10%
1 4
Houston (23-3)
 100% 75% 27% 7%
2 5
UConn (24-2)
 100% 66% 16% 3%
2 6
Iowa St (23-3)
 100% 71% 23% 5%
2 7
Purdue (21-4)
 100% 71% 23% 6%
2 8
Florida (19-6)
 100% 72% 24% 6%
3 9
Illinois (21-5)
 100% 67% 19% 4%
3 10
Vanderbilt (21-4)
 100% 56% 11% 2%
3 11
Kansas (19-6)
 100% 51% 9% 1%
3 12
Nebraska (22-3)
 100% 48% 7% 1%
4 13
Texas Tech (19-6)
 100% 50% 9% 1%
4 14
Virginia (22-3)
 100% 39% 5% 0%
4 15
St John's (20-5)
 100% 47% 8% 1%
4 16
Arkansas (19-6)
 100% 48% 9% 1%
5 17
Michigan St (20-5)
 100% 48% 9% 1%
5 18
Saint Louis (24-1)
 88% 33% 4% 0%
5 19
Alabama (18-7)
 100% 45% 8% 1%
5 20
Gonzaga (25-2)
 100% 54% 14% 3%
6 21
Louisville (19-6)
 100% 47% 11% 2%
6 22
Tennessee (18-7)
 100% 38% 7% 1%
6 23
North Carolina (20-5)
 100% 28% 3% 0%
6 24
BYU (19-6)
 100% 32% 5% 1%
7 25
Utah St (22-3)
 99% 20% 2% 0%
7 26
Villanova (20-5)
 100% 17% 1% 0%
7 27
NC State (18-8)
 100% 19% 2% 0%
7 28
Kentucky (17-8)
 100% 24% 4% 0%
8 29
Clemson (20-6)
 94% 14% 1% 0%
8 30
Wisconsin (18-7)
 100% 14% 2% 0%
8 31
SMU (17-8)
 96% 11% 1% 0%
8 32
Miami (20-5)
 56% 7% 1% 0%
9 33
Iowa (18-7)
 91% 14% 2% 0%
9 34
Auburn (14-11)
 96% 13% 2% 0%
9 35
UCF (17-7)
 69% 3% 0% 0%
9 36
Texas (16-9)
 72% 9% 1% 0%
10 37
Indiana (17-9)
 98% 12% 1% 0%
10 38
Georgia (17-8)
 87% 10% 1% 0%
10 39
Saint Mary's (23-4)
 76% 7% 1% 0%
10 40
San Diego St (18-6)
 85% 6% 0% 0%
11 41
UCLA (17-8)
 91% 9% 1% 0%
11 42
Ohio St (16-9)
 92% 10% 1% 0%
11 43
Santa Clara (22-6)
 82% 5% 0% 0%
11 44
VCU (20-6)
 61% 3% 0% 0%
11 45
USC (18-7)
 54% 3% 0% 0%
11 46
Yale (20-4)
 52% 1% 0% 0%
12 47
Belmont (24-4)
 30% 1% 0% 0%
12 48
S Florida (18-8)
 38% 1% 0% 0%
12 49
Liberty (22-3)
 34% 0% 0% 0%
12 50
Akron (20-5)
 41% 1% 0% 0%
13 51
Utah Valley (18-7)
 49% 1% 0% 0%
13 52
NC Wilmington (22-4)
 26% 0% 0% 0%
13 53
McNeese (22-5)
 65% 2% 0% 0%
13 54
Troy (17-10)
 33% 0% 0% 0%
14 55
Hawai'i (18-6)
 35% 0% 0% 0%
14 56
High Point (24-4)
 62% 2% 0% 0%
14 57
Wright St (17-10)
 32% 0% 0% 0%
14 58
Merrimack (18-9)
 20% 0% 0% 0%
15 59
St Thomas (21-7)
 37% 0% 0% 0%
15 60
E Tennessee St (19-8)
 33% 0% 0% 0%
15 61
Austin Peay (19-6)
 33% 0% 0% 0%
15 62
Montana St (15-11)
 22% 0% 0% 0%
16 63
Howard (17-10)
 53% 0% 0% 0%
16 64
Southern (12-14)
 26% 0% 0% 0%
16 65
LIU (18-9)
 71% 0% 0% 0%
16 66
UT Martin (20-7)
 31% 0% 0% 0%
16 67
Navy (21-6)
 55% 0% 0% 0%
16 68
UMBC (16-8)
 38% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri (17-8)
 39% 2% 0% 0%
New Mexico (19-6)
 38% 2% 0% 0%
Vermont (17-10)
 37% 0% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (21-6)
 36% 0% 0% 0%
Seton Hall (18-8)
 32% 1% 0% 0%
Miami OH (25-0)
 31% 1% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (17-8)
 31% 4% 0% 0%
UC Irvine (17-9)
 30% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (20-6)
 29% 1% 0% 0%
Virginia Tech (17-9)
 28% 1% 0% 0%
Oakland (14-13)
 28% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Baptist (19-7)
 27% 0% 0% 0%
Hofstra (17-10)
 26% 0% 0% 0%
SF Austin (24-3)
 25% 0% 0% 0%
Bethune (13-13)
 25% 0% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (13-14)
 25% 0% 0% 0%
Colgate (16-12)
 24% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (12-11)
 23% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (17-10)
 23% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (19-8)
 22% 0% 0% 0%
C Connecticut (15-10)
 22% 0% 0% 0%
Sam Houston (17-8)
 22% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (16-11)
 21% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (17-7)
 21% 0% 0% 0%
Boise St (15-10)
 20% 1% 0% 0%
App State (18-10)
 19% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (18-9)
 19% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri St (16-11)
 19% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (17-10)
 18% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (18-10)
 18% 0% 0% 0%
C Arkansas (17-10)
 18% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (16-10)
 17% 0% 0% 0%
Furman (17-10)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (17-10)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
Washington (13-13)
 15% 1% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (17-10)
 15% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (17-10)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Queens (15-12)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Robert Morris (18-10)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (17-10)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Tennessee St (17-9)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (17-8)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
William & Mary (16-10)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (19-8)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
Wichita St (16-10)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (14-12)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (15-12)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Harvard (14-10)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (19-9)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (14-12)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (12-13)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
S Dakota St (12-15)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling (11-14)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Peter's (15-9)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (17-9)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (16-11)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (15-12)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Lindenwood (16-11)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
UCSD (18-9)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (18-9)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Charleston (17-10)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (13-12)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
UT Arlington (14-11)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (14-11)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
NC Central (10-14)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Tech (16-11)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Penn (13-10)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Baylor (13-12)
 9% 1% 0% 0%
Bowling Green (16-10)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois Chicago (15-12)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Texas So (9-15)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (15-12)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (14-11)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (17-10)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
UMass Lowell (11-15)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
American (14-13)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (16-10)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (14-12)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (12-13)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama A&M (15-11)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
E Washington (9-17)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (16-11)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Kent St (19-7)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
CS Northridge (16-10)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (13-15)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (14-13)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
TCU (16-9)
 7% 1% 0% 0%
Weber St (13-14)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
G Washington (15-11)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (9-17)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
AR-Pine Bluff (11-15)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Iona (15-12)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Creighton (13-13)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Grand Canyon (16-9)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville St (13-12)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (8-19)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
FGCU (12-15)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (14-12)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (13-15)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Purdue FW (15-12)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
George Mason (21-5)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Youngstown St (13-14)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Omaha (14-14)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (10-14)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Dayton (16-9)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Green Bay (15-13)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Toledo (13-13)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
NC Asheville (12-14)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (16-11)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
UT Rio Grande (15-12)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (14-13)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (9-18)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (12-15)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico St (12-13)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (16-10)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (12-14)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Louisiana Tech (14-11)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (12-15)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
UAB (16-10)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (9-17)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
UMass (15-11)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (13-12)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona St (13-12)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (10-15)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Atlantic (14-12)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Prairie View (10-16)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Texas St (17-11)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Tarleton St (13-13)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (10-17)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma St (16-9)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (9-17)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (16-11)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (14-13)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit Mercy (12-13)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (10-17)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (14-13)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (16-11)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (15-9)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M-CC (14-13)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
California (18-8)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (15-14)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (10-14)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (13-12)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Heart (12-16)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (14-14)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (12-13)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (13-13)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Bellarmine (11-15)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Mary's (12-15)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Charleston So (12-15)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
NC Greensboro (12-15)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Stonehill (9-18)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Abl Christian (12-14)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (15-10)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
New Hampshire (8-16)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
N Texas (15-11)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (13-14)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (14-13)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
J Madison (14-13)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Little Rock (10-17)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado St (15-10)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Sacramento St (9-16)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola MD (11-16)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (9-16)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (13-14)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (15-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (10-17)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (15-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho St (10-17)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina St (6-18)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (6-19)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (13-14)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Milwaukee (11-17)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Providence (11-15)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Xavier (13-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (15-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (12-14)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
West Virginia (16-9)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (6-21)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (11-16)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (12-15)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Syracuse (15-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (11-16)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (8-18)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (9-17)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Drake (12-16)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (12-15)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
LSU (14-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (13-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (14-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
UTEP (10-16)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (10-17)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (13-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (10-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Old Dominion (10-18)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (13-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi St (12-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Southern Miss (14-14)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn St (6-19)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Joseph's (15-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (8-19)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (12-16)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (11-16)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (14-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nicholls (11-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (6-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (10-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia So (15-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (8-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (6-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Bonaventure (14-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marquette (9-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northeastern (6-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (13-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (8-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (9-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (9-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Francisco (15-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (13-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (15-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (17-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Francis PA (6-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (6-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma (13-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (8-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (10-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia St (9-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (12-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida St (12-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (10-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (14-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Army (10-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado (14-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi (11-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington St (11-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (16-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tenn Tech (11-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (9-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Long Beach St (8-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incarnate Word (10-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
The Citadel (9-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (12-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (6-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (14-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (8-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas City (4-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Louisiana (9-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IU Indy (7-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
C Michigan (8-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Texas A&M (11-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
VMI (6-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (11-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hou Christian (10-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (10-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (13-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (8-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (7-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (8-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (6-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (5-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas St (10-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ball St (8-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (11-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
South Carolina (11-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (9-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (8-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Chi (6-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (12-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (11-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (7-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Gardner-Webb (3-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland (10-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (8-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Penn St (11-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Valley St (1-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston College (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UL Monroe (4-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rutgers (10-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (7-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfield (8-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia Tech (11-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (3-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Indiana (5-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercyhurst (13-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Haven (11-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (8-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Georgia (12-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Le Moyne (14-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (3-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UTSA (5-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (5-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin St (6-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%

NOTE: The WAC uses a KenPom-based method to seed its conference tournament. Seeding is based on a team's performance against their entire schedule, not just their conference games. Our projections do not cover this unique seeding method, and will simply seed teams based on projected conference record. Once the official bracket is set, we will use that.