Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Houston (9-0)
100% 76% 37% 15%
1 2
Tennessee (8-1)
100% 73% 34% 13%
1 3
100% 72% 31% 11%
1 4
Purdue (9-0)
100% 62% 20% 5%
2 5
Alabama (7-1)
100% 54% 16% 4%
2 6
Texas (6-1)
99% 56% 18% 5%
2 7
Gonzaga (6-3)
100% 60% 20% 5%
2 8
Indiana (8-1)
99% 55% 17% 5%
3 9
Baylor (7-2)
99% 50% 14% 3%
3 10
Virginia (8-0)
95% 43% 10% 2%
3 11
Duke (9-2)
98% 46% 11% 2%
3 12
UCLA (7-2)
99% 51% 15% 4%
4 13
Auburn (8-0)
98% 38% 8% 1%
4 14
Kansas (8-1)
99% 40% 9% 2%
4 15
Illinois (7-2)
95% 45% 12% 3%
4 16
Arizona (7-1)
95% 40% 9% 2%
5 17
Kentucky (6-2)
89% 43% 12% 3%
5 18
Arkansas (8-1)
95% 36% 8% 1%
5 19
Maryland (8-1)
95% 37% 8% 1%
5 20 85% 24% 4% 0%
6 21 95% 31% 6% 1%
6 22
Iowa (6-2)
88% 30% 6% 1%
6 23
Xavier (6-3)
94% 30% 6% 1%
6 24 96% 27% 5% 1%
7 25
Rutgers (6-2)
82% 26% 5% 1%
7 26
Creighton (6-3)
89% 26% 5% 1%
7 27 90% 27% 6% 1%
7 28
St Marys (7-3)
85% 20% 3% 0%
8 29 86% 18% 3% 0%
8 30 61% 18% 3% 0%
8 31 81% 21% 4% 1%
8 32
VA Tech (9-1)
63% 15% 2% 0%
9 33
Memphis (7-2)
66% 14% 2% 0%
9 34
UAB (7-1)
75% 14% 2% 0%
9 35 56% 10% 1% 0%
9 36 58% 14% 2% 0%
10 37
Oklahoma (7-2)
71% 13% 2% 0%
10 38 75% 14% 2% 0%
10 39 58% 9% 1% 0%
10 40
Wisconsin (7-2)
64% 10% 1% 0%
11 41 81% 12% 1% 0%
11 42
Marquette (7-3)
60% 11% 2% 0%
11 43 49% 7% 1% 0%
11 44 47% 6% 1% 0%
11 45 53% 5% 0% 0%
12 46
Florida (6-4)
41% 7% 1% 0%
12 47
Kansas St (8-1)
44% 6% 1% 0%
12 48
Drake (8-1)
25% 2% 0% 0%
12 49
James Mad (7-3)
45% 6% 1% 0%
12 50
Iona (5-2)
62% 5% 0% 0%
13 51 35% 2% 0% 0%
13 52 34% 3% 0% 0%
13 53
UC Irvine (6-3)
47% 4% 0% 0%
13 54
Yale (8-2)
46% 4% 0% 0%
14 55 43% 4% 0% 0%
14 56
Liberty (6-3)
34% 1% 0% 0%
14 57
Furman (6-3)
30% 1% 0% 0%
14 58 50% 2% 0% 0%
15 59
Colgate (6-5)
51% 1% 0% 0%
15 60 38% 1% 0% 0%
15 61
Youngs St (6-3)
31% 1% 0% 0%
15 62
Longwood (5-4)
25% 0% 0% 0%
16 63 33% 0% 0% 0%
16 64 28% 0% 0% 0%
16 65
TX A&M-CC (5-4)
32% 0% 0% 0%
16 66 29% 0% 0% 0%
16 67
Southern (3-5)
32% 0% 0% 0%
16 68
Wagner (4-4)
41% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon (4-5)
45% 7% 1% 0%
UNLV (9-0)
44% 5% 0% 0%
41% 8% 1% 0%
Michigan (5-3)
40% 5% 0% 0%
37% 4% 0% 0%
35% 4% 0% 0%
35% 1% 0% 0%
34% 5% 0% 0%
Missouri (9-0)
33% 6% 1% 0%
32% 7% 1% 0%
Princeton (7-2)
31% 1% 0% 0%
Nevada (8-2)
31% 2% 0% 0%
NC State (8-2)
30% 5% 1% 0%
Toledo (6-3)
28% 2% 0% 0%
28% 2% 0% 0%
28% 0% 0% 0%
26% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (6-3)
26% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (7-2)
24% 4% 1% 0%
Butler (7-3)
24% 3% 0% 0%
24% 1% 0% 0%
Towson (8-2)
24% 1% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (5-3)
23% 3% 0% 0%
Dayton (5-5)
23% 2% 0% 0%
Bradley (7-3)
23% 1% 0% 0%
Morgan St (4-6)
22% 0% 0% 0%
21% 1% 0% 0%
20% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (7-1)
20% 1% 0% 0%
NW State (7-2)
20% 0% 0% 0%
20% 0% 0% 0%
St Johns (9-1)
20% 3% 0% 0%
20% 1% 0% 0%
IPFW (6-4)
19% 0% 0% 0%
Villanova (4-5)
19% 2% 0% 0%
19% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado (4-5)
18% 2% 0% 0%
18% 1% 0% 0%
17% 2% 0% 0%
17% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (6-4)
17% 1% 0% 0%
17% 0% 0% 0%
Vermont (5-7)
16% 0% 0% 0%
16% 2% 0% 0%
Samford (6-4)
16% 0% 0% 0%
16% 1% 0% 0%
Hofstra (6-4)
16% 0% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (2-6)
16% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (6-3)
15% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (5-4)
14% 0% 0% 0%
14% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (7-2)
14% 1% 0% 0%
14% 0% 0% 0%
14% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (4-5)
14% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (4-5)
14% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (5-2)
14% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (6-1)
14% 1% 0% 0%
Wofford (6-4)
13% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (3-5)
13% 1% 0% 0%
13% 0% 0% 0%
13% 1% 0% 0%
LSU (7-1)
12% 2% 0% 0%
TN State (5-4)
12% 0% 0% 0%
12% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (4-4)
12% 0% 0% 0%
12% 0% 0% 0%
12% 1% 0% 0%
11% 0% 0% 0%
11% 1% 0% 0%
11% 0% 0% 0%
USC (7-3)
11% 1% 0% 0%
11% 0% 0% 0%
11% 0% 0% 0%
11% 1% 0% 0%
Hawaii (5-3)
11% 0% 0% 0%
10% 0% 0% 0%
Clemson (8-2)
10% 1% 0% 0%
U Mass (7-1)
10% 0% 0% 0%
10% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (6-4)
10% 0% 0% 0%
10% 0% 0% 0%
American (6-2)
9% 0% 0% 0%
9% 0% 0% 0%
9% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (5-5)
9% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (7-2)
9% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (5-3)
9% 0% 0% 0%
9% 0% 0% 0%
VCU (5-4)
9% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (6-4)
8% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (5-5)
8% 0% 0% 0%
8% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (4-5)
8% 0% 0% 0%
8% 0% 0% 0%
LA Tech (6-2)
8% 0% 0% 0%
8% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (6-2)
8% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (4-5)
8% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (3-6)
8% 0% 0% 0%
8% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (4-4)
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (6-3)
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 1% 0% 0%
7% 1% 0% 0%
Siena (5-4)
7% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (5-5)
6% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (8-2)
6% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (3-6)
6% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (5-5)
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (7-1)
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
U Penn (5-7)
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (4-4)
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (6-4)
5% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (6-4)
5% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (4-7)
5% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (6-4)
5% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (4-4)
5% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (5-4)
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
Howard (4-7)
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (4-8)
5% 0% 0% 0%
Harvard (7-3)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (3-6)
4% 1% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (4-5)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
Syracuse (5-4)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (7-3)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (3-5)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (5-4)
4% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (4-6)
3% 0% 0% 0%
LIU (1-7)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (4-4)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (6-4)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (6-4)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (4-4)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
App State (6-4)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (4-3)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (1-9)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (5-4)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (3-7)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (3-5)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (9-1)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (4-4)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (4-5)
2% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (4-5)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Army (5-5)
2% 0% 0% 0%
BYU (5-5)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (5-4)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (2-5)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (4-6)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (4-3)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (4-6)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (4-5)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (2-6)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (5-3)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (2-6)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (4-5)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (4-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (5-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (2-9)
1% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (4-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (4-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (7-5)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (6-3)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (3-5)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (6-4)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (1-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (4-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (7-3)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (3-7)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (3-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (6-2)
0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (5-4)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (6-4)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (4-4)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (3-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (3-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (1-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (2-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (1-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (5-4)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (4-5)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (3-7)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
California (0-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (4-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (1-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (4-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Queens (7-2)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Stonehill (4-7)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (1-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
S Indiana (4-5)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Tech (4-5)
0% 0% 0% 0%

NOTE: The WAC is using a creative new method to seed its conference tournament this season. Seeding will be based on the NET and KenPom, and will evaluate a team's performance against their entire schedule, not just their conference games. For now, our projections will simply seed teams based on projected conference record. Later in the season, as we see how this all plays out, we may make some adjustments.