Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Duke (32-2)
 100% 87% 50% 20%
1 2
Arizona (32-2)
 100% 83% 48% 18%
1 3
Michigan (31-2)
 100% 89% 53% 23%
1 4
Florida (26-7)
 100% 81% 31% 8%
2 5
UConn (29-5)
 100% 63% 12% 2%
2 6
Houston (28-6)
 100% 77% 25% 5%
2 7
Michigan St (25-7)
 100% 59% 11% 2%
2 8
St John's (28-6)
 100% 57% 11% 2%
3 9
Virginia (29-5)
 100% 53% 6% 0%
3 10
Alabama (23-9)
 100% 55% 10% 1%
3 11
Iowa St (27-7)
 100% 70% 17% 3%
3 12
Vanderbilt (26-7)
 100% 60% 14% 3%
4 13
Arkansas (25-8)
 100% 51% 8% 1%
4 14
Illinois (24-8)
 100% 63% 17% 4%
4 15
Nebraska (26-6)
 100% 44% 5% 0%
4 16
Kansas (23-10)
 100% 43% 5% 0%
5 17
Texas Tech (22-10)
 100% 43% 6% 1%
5 18
Purdue (26-8)
 100% 64% 17% 4%
5 19
Gonzaga (30-3)
 100% 53% 12% 2%
5 20
North Carolina (24-8)
 100% 30% 3% 0%
6 21
Wisconsin (24-10)
 100% 32% 3% 0%
6 22
Tennessee (22-11)
 100% 37% 6% 1%
6 23
BYU (23-11)
 100% 24% 3% 0%
6 24
Utah St (28-6)
 100% 15% 1% 0%
7 25
Villanova (24-8)
 100% 15% 1% 0%
7 26
Miami (25-8)
 90% 11% 1% 0%
7 27
Louisville (23-10)
 100% 29% 6% 1%
7 28
Georgia (22-10)
 100% 17% 2% 0%
8 29
Saint Mary's (27-5)
 98% 11% 1% 0%
8 30
UCF (21-11)
 95% 4% 0% 0%
8 31
UCLA (23-11)
 100% 18% 2% 0%
8 32
Kentucky (21-13)
 100% 18% 2% 0%
9 33
Clemson (24-10)
 98% 10% 1% 0%
9 34
NC State (20-13)
 100% 10% 1% 0%
9 35
S Florida (24-8)
 70% 3% 0% 0%
9 36
TCU (22-11)
 85% 6% 0% 0%
10 37
Ohio St (21-12)
 100% 15% 2% 0%
10 38
VCU (26-7)
 98% 6% 0% 0%
10 39
Missouri (20-12)
 77% 5% 0% 0%
10 40
Iowa (21-12)
 99% 15% 2% 0%
11 41
Santa Clara (26-8)
 93% 6% 0% 0%
11 42
Auburn (17-16)
 98% 11% 1% 0%
11 43
SMU (20-13)
 91% 8% 1% 0%
11 44
San Diego St (22-11)
 75% 4% 0% 0%
11 45
Yale (24-5)
 77% 2% 0% 0%
12 46
Akron (29-5)
 100% 3% 0% 0%
12 47
Dayton (23-10)
 51% 1% 0% 0%
12 48
Wichita St (22-10)
 36% 1% 0% 0%
12 49
Hofstra (24-10)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
12 50
Cal Baptist (25-8)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
13 51
McNeese (28-5)
 100% 2% 0% 0%
13 52
N Iowa (23-12)
 100% 2% 0% 0%
13 53
Hawai'i (24-8)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
13 54
Troy (22-11)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
14 55
High Point (30-4)
 100% 3% 0% 0%
14 56
N Dakota St (27-7)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
14 57
Wright St (23-11)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
14 58
Kennesaw St (21-13)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
15 59
Tennessee St (23-9)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
15 60
Furman (22-12)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
15 61
Siena (23-11)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
15 62
Idaho (21-14)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 63
UMBC (24-8)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 64
Howard (23-10)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 65
LIU (24-10)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 66
Prairie View (18-17)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 67
Queens (21-13)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 68
Lehigh (18-16)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (21-11)
 82% 8% 1% 0%
Saint Louis (28-5)
 61% 9% 1% 0%
Texas (18-14)
 40% 4% 0% 0%
Penn (17-11)
 23% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (20-12)
 17% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana (18-14)
 17% 2% 0% 0%
Boise St (20-12)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Seton Hall (21-12)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Virginia Tech (19-13)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico (23-10)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (22-12)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma (19-15)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
California (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma St (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida St (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona St (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
George Mason (23-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grand Canyon (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
West Virginia (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
USC (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (26-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (26-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Joseph's (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado St (21-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Baylor (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
G Washington (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Creighton (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (21-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Liberty (25-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charleston (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (23-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois Chicago (19-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sam Houston (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Toledo (19-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kent St (24-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miami OH (31-1)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Valley (25-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC Wilmington (26-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Irvine (23-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SF Austin (28-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (19-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (15-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (16-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (23-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia St (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
VMI (6-26)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Penn St (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UMass Lowell (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (14-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi St (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Green Bay (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tenn Tech (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UT Martin (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (22-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (15-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri St (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Mary's (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville St (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (9-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Atlantic (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCSD (23-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tarleton St (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (9-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (20-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
C Arkansas (22-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (11-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bellarmine (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LSU (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Milwaukee (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Robert Morris (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (11-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (10-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Texas A&M (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas St (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Youngstown St (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (18-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UT Arlington (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Providence (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rutgers (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (12-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Little Rock (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Dakota St (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Francisco (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Louisiana (11-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (17-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas So (12-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Texas (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn St (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico St (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho St (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ball St (12-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
C Connecticut (18-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sacramento St (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (19-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Weber St (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas City (4-27)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (18-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (5-26)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Montana St (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (20-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stonehill (12-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Washington (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (18-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UTEP (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colgate (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (10-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfield (8-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Chi (9-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Tech (19-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hou Christian (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Louisiana Tech (20-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC Central (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Abl Christian (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UTSA (5-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (3-29)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland (12-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (21-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (16-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Iona (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Peter's (17-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Gardner-Webb (4-29)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (19-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Thomas (24-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UMass (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (9-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northeastern (7-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Bonaventure (17-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
South Carolina (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Xavier (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drake (14-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (16-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (12-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit Mercy (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
AR-Pine Bluff (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Valley St (3-30)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
FGCU (16-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama A&M (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (8-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (9-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (11-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Green (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bethune (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
C Michigan (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (14-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Francis PA (7-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina St (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Harvard (17-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Heart (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin St (7-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IU Indy (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia Tech (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Long Beach St (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
J Madison (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Old Dominion (12-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Northridge (20-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston College (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Syracuse (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Army (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
William & Mary (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (26-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
American (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UAB (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (11-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incarnate Word (12-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Le Moyne (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (16-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (9-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Purdue FW (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (15-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercyhurst (17-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marquette (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M-CC (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Southern Miss (19-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (12-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
The Citadel (11-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Georgia (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC Asheville (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nicholls (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Haven (14-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charleston So (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (17-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Omaha (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington St (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia So (21-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC Greensboro (15-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UT Rio Grande (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UL Monroe (4-28)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Tennessee St (23-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (12-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
App State (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lindenwood (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas St (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi (15-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (8-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (4-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Vermont (22-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola MD (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (8-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Hampshire (9-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (17-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (8-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Indiana (7-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%

NOTE: The WAC uses a KenPom-based method to seed its conference tournament. Seeding is based on a team's performance against their entire schedule, not just their conference games. Our projections do not cover this unique seeding method, and will simply seed teams based on projected conference record. Once the official bracket is set, we will use that.