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Make Tournament

80.1%

Automatic Bid

9.8%

At Large Bid

70.4%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (13.8%)

Final Four

3.2%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.2%
24 95.0%
23 78.4%
22 45.1%
21 14.9%
20 2.1%
19 0.2%
18 0.1%
OVERALL 80.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 1.7%
2 1.7% 1.1%
3 4.9% 0.9%
4 9.3% 0.6%
5 12.8% 0.4%
6 13.8% 0.3%
7 12.6% 0.2%
8 10.1% 0.2%
9 7.2% 0.2%
10 4.4% 0.2%
11 2.2% 0.1%
12 0.7% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.