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Fiesta Bowl Playoff Semifinal: Miami vs. Mississippi: Recap

Thursday Jan 8, 2026 7:30 pm - Glendale, AZ (Neutral Site)
Odds: Miami by 3, Total Points: 52.5

Matchup Menu: MIA vs. MISS

More Games From Bowl Week
Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 60.2%
MISS 39.8%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -3.0 MIA 51.9%
MISS 48.1%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 52.5 Over 50.8%
Under 49.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.7%
MISS -1.9%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 28.1 27 27.8 31
MISS 24.9 24 24.8 27

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA MISS
Yards/Play 5.8 6.6
Points/Play 0.444 0.491
Rush Play % 52.76% 52.14%
Pass Play % 47.24% 47.86%
Completion % 70.65% 63.52%
3D Conv % 45.36% 42.08%
RZ Scoring % 89.47% 85.71%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA MISS
Opp Yards/Play 4.5 5.3
Opp Points/Play 0.234 0.324
Opp Completion % 59.24% 57.11%
Opp 3D Conv % 32.18% 38.02%
Opp RZ Scoring % 82.35% 87.50%