Holiday Bowl: Arizona vs. SMU: Recap
Friday Jan 2, 2026 8:00 pm -
San Diego, CA
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
SMU by 2.5,
Total Points:
55.5
Matchup Menu: ARIZ vs. SMU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | ARIZ | 42.6% | ||
| SMU | 57.4% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU -2.5 | ARIZ | 47.5% | ||
| SMU | 52.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 55.5 | Over | 42.8% | ||
| Under | 57.2% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | ARIZ | -3.9% | ||
| SMU | -1.0% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 25.0 | 24 | 26.5 | 19 |
| SMU | 27.8 | 27 | 29.0 | 24 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | ARIZ | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 8.7 |
| Points/Play | 0.262 | 0.403 |
| Rush Play % | 47.69% | 46.27% |
| Pass Play % | 52.31% | 53.73% |
| Completion % | 74.19% | 72.22% |
| 3D Conv % | 41.67% | 57.14% |
| RZ Scoring % | 100.00% | 75.00% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | ARIZ | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.4 | 4.6 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.491 | 0.338 |
| Opp Completion % | 61.54% | 52.17% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 54.55% | 13.33% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 75.00% | 100.00% |