Holiday Bowl: Arizona vs. SMU: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Jan 2, 2026 8:00 pm - San Diego, CA (Neutral Site)
Odds: SMU by 2.5, Total Points: 55.5

Matchup Menu: ARIZ vs. SMU

More Games From Bowl Week

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
SMU -2.5 Official TR Pick SMU 53% odds to cover
SMU -2.5 Decision Tree SMU 53% odds to cover
Arizona +2.5 Power Ratings Arizona 56% odds to cover
Arizona +2.5 Similar Games Arizona 50% odds to cover
Arizona +2.5 Predictive Ratings Arizona 56% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ARIZ adv SMU
Season 8-5-0 6-6-0
vs Conference 6-4-0 5-3-0
Streak L1 W1
Last 5 3-2-0 4-1-0
Last 10 5-5-0 6-4-0
Home 5-2-0 3-2-0
Away 3-3-0 3-4-0

Arizona Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Home Hawai'i -15.0 W by 34 +19.0
09/06 Home Weber State -31.5 W by 45 +13.5
09/12 Home Kansas St +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
09/27 Away Iowa St +4.0 L by 25 -21.0
10/04 Home Oklahoma St -21.5 W by 28 +6.5
10/11 Home BYU +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
10/18 Away Houston -2.0 L by 3 -5.0
11/01 Away Colorado -4.5 W by 35 +30.5
11/08 Home Kansas -5.5 W by 4 -1.5
11/15 Away Cincinnati +5.0 W by 6 +11.0
11/22 Home Baylor -6.5 W by 24 +17.5
11/28 Away Arizona St -2.0 W by 16 +14.0
01/02 Neutral SMU +2.5 L by 5 -2.5

SMU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Home Texas A&M-Commerce -50.5 W by 29 -21.5
09/06 Home Baylor -3.0 L by 3 -6.0
09/13 Away Missouri St -28.0 W by 18 -10.0
09/20 Away TCU +7.0 L by 11 -4.0
10/04 Home Syracuse -17.5 W by 13 -4.5
10/11 Home Stanford -19.5 W by 24 +4.5
10/18 Away Clemson +3.5 W by 11 +14.5
10/25 Away Wake Forest -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
11/01 Home Miami +8.5 W by 6 +14.5
11/08 Away Boston College -11.0 W by 32 +21.0
11/22 Home Louisville -3.5 W by 32 +28.5
11/29 Away California -14.0 L by 3 -17.0
01/02 Neutral Arizona -2.5 W by 5 +2.5