Holiday Bowl: Arizona vs. SMU: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Jan 2, 2026 8:00 pm - San Diego, CA (Neutral Site)
Odds: SMU by 2.5, Total Points: 55.5

Matchup Menu: ARIZ vs. SMU

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 55.5 Official TR Pick 57% odds to go under
Under 55.5 Decision Tree 57% odds to go under
Over 55.5 Similar Games 57% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record ARIZ SMU
Season 4-9-0 4-9-0
vs Conference 4-6-0 3-5-0
Streak Un 5 Un 1
Last 5 0-5-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 3-7-0
Home 1-6-0 1-5-0
Away 3-3-0 3-4-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Arizona Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/30 Home Hawai'i 55.5 40-6 Under -9.5
09/06 Home Weber State 56.5 48-3 Under -5.5
09/12 Home Kansas St 56.0 23-17 Under -16.0
09/27 Away Iowa St 48.0 14-39 Over +5.0
10/04 Home Oklahoma St 55.5 41-13 Under -1.5
10/11 Home BYU 46.5 27-33 Over +13.5
10/18 Away Houston 47.0 28-31 Over +12.0
11/01 Away Colorado 52.5 52-17 Over +16.5
11/08 Home Kansas 57.5 24-20 Under -13.5
11/15 Away Cincinnati 57.0 30-24 Under -3.0
11/22 Home Baylor 61.5 41-17 Under -3.5
11/28 Away Arizona St 48.5 23-7 Under -18.5
01/02 Neutral SMU 55.5 19-24 Under -12.5

SMU Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/30 Home Texas A&M-Commerce 64.5 42-13 Under -9.5
09/06 Home Baylor 65.5 45-48 Over +27.5
09/13 Away Missouri St 60.5 28-10 Under -22.5
09/20 Away TCU 63.5 24-35 Under -4.5
10/04 Home Syracuse 57.0 31-18 Under -8.0
10/11 Home Stanford 55.0 34-10 Under -11.0
10/18 Away Clemson 50.5 35-24 Over +8.5
10/25 Away Wake Forest 52.5 12-13 Under -27.5
11/01 Home Miami 50.5 26-20 Under -4.5
11/08 Away Boston College 54.5 45-13 Over +3.5
11/22 Home Louisville 50.0 38-6 Under -6.0
11/29 Away California 53.5 35-38 Over +19.5
01/02 Neutral Arizona 55.5 24-19 Under -12.5