Rate Bowl: New Mexico vs. Minnesota: Recap
Friday Dec 26, 2025 4:16 pm -
Phoenix, AZ
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Minnesota by 1.5,
Total Points:
44.5
Matchup Menu: UNM vs. MINN
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | UNM | 47.2% | ||
| MINN | 52.8% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN -1.5 | UNM | 49.7% | ||
| MINN | 50.3% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 44.5 | Over | 48.5% | ||
| Under | 51.5% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | UNM | -1.6% | ||
| MINN | -2.7% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | 21.2 | 20 | 21.5 | 17 |
| MINN | 22.8 | 23 | 23.0 | 20 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | UNM | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 4.5 |
| Points/Play | 0.535 | 0.200 |
| Rush Play % | 61.97% | 23.08% |
| Pass Play % | 38.03% | 76.92% |
| Completion % | 68.00% | 64.58% |
| 3D Conv % | 53.85% | 30.77% |
| RZ Scoring % | 100.00% | 50.00% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | UNM | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 2.9 | 6.9 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.137 | 0.551 |
| Opp Completion % | 43.75% | 72.73% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 18.18% | 60.00% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | -- | 75.00% |