Citrus Bowl: Michigan vs. Texas: Recap
Wednesday Dec 31, 2025 3:00 pm -
Orlando, FL
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Texas by 4.5,
Total Points:
49.5
Matchup Menu: MICH vs. TEX
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | MICH | 36.8% | ||
| TEX | 63.2% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH +4.5 | MICH | 51.6% | ||
| TEX | 48.4% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 | Over | 47.4% | ||
| Under | 52.6% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | MICH | -1.0% | ||
| TEX | -3.4% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | 22.3 | 21 | 22.5 | 27 |
| TEX | 26.2 | 27 | 27.0 | 41 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MICH | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.275 | 0.550 |
| Rush Play % | 60.55% | 50.99% |
| Pass Play % | 39.45% | 49.01% |
| Completion % | 52.50% | 69.01% |
| 3D Conv % | 30.43% | 64.52% |
| RZ Scoring % | 100.00% | 90.91% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MICH | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 3.8 | 5.3 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.164 | 0.219 |
| Opp Completion % | 59.26% | 60.66% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 35.48% | 50.00% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 75.00% | 62.50% |