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Make Tournament

71.5%

Automatic Bid

2.4%

At Large Bid

69.2%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (11.1%)

Final Four

0.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 99.1%
21 93.8%
20 69.7%
19 26.2%
18 3.0%
17 0.1%
OVERALL 71.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.3% 0.4%
3 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.4% 0.2%
5 4.4% 0.1%
6 6.5% 0.1%
7 8.2% 0.1%
8 9.7% 0.0%
9 10.8% 0.0%
10 11.1% 0.0%
11 10.3% 0.0%
12 6.3% 0.0%
13 0.5% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.