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Make Tournament

65.4%

Automatic Bid

4.9%

At Large Bid

60.4%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (11.1%)

Final Four

1.0%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.6%
22 97.3%
21 86.1%
20 58.0%
19 21.6%
18 3.1%
17 0.3%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 65.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.6% 0.3%
4 2.0% 0.2%
5 4.4% 0.2%
6 7.3% 0.1%
7 9.8% 0.1%
8 11.1% 0.1%
9 11.1% 0.1%
10 9.4% 0.0%
11 6.5% 0.0%
12 2.8% 0.0%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.