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Make Tournament

83.7%

Automatic Bid

8.3%

At Large Bid

75.4%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (12.5%)

Final Four

4.5%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.5%
23 97.8%
22 88.2%
21 62.7%
20 24.9%
19 4.4%
18 0.2%
OVERALL 83.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.8% 2.1%
3 3.1% 1.8%
4 6.6% 1.3%
5 10.0% 0.9%
6 12.0% 0.7%
7 12.5% 0.6%
8 11.8% 0.4%
9 10.3% 0.4%
10 8.2% 0.3%
11 5.7% 0.2%
12 2.6% 0.2%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.