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Make Tournament

91.2%

Automatic Bid

5.0%

At Large Bid

86.2%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (18.9%)

Final Four

3.0%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 99.5%
15 95.6%
14 71.4%
13 19.1%
12 0.3%
OVERALL 91.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.3% 2.1%
3 1.1% 1.6%
4 2.5% 1.2%
5 4.2% 0.8%
6 5.9% 0.6%
7 7.4% 0.5%
8 8.8% 0.4%
9 10.2% 0.3%
10 12.1% 0.3%
11 15.5% 0.2%
12 18.9% 0.1%
13 3.9% 0.1%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.