This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2021-22 NCAA Basketball season.
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North Carolina Tar Heels NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection
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Last Week
Make Tournament
89.3%
Automatic Bid
0.0%
At Large Bid
89.3%
Most Likely Seed
#10 (21.5%)
Final Four
2.1%
NCAA Champs
0.2%
Projected NCAA Tournament Seed
NCAA Tournament Chances
Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins
NCAA Bid%
24
89.3%
OVERALL
89.3%
NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.
NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed
Probability
Win Odds
1
0.0%
-
2
0.0%
-
3
0.1%
-
4
0.4%
0.3%
5
1.7%
0.2%
6
4.3%
0.2%
7
8.2%
0.2%
8
14.4%
0.2%
9
21.2%
0.2%
10
21.5%
0.2%
11
12.8%
0.2%
12
4.3%
0.1%
13
0.3%
0.0%
14
0.0%
-
15
0.0%
-
16
0.0%
-
OVERALL
0.2%
*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.