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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

34.6%

At Large Bid

65.4%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (36.9%)

Final Four

27.0%

NCAA Champs

8.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.2%
19 97.9%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 36.9% 11.1%
2 29.9% 7.7%
3 17.2% 5.7%
4 8.6% 4.3%
5 4.0% 3.5%
6 1.8% 2.7%
7 0.8% 1.7%
8 0.4% 1.6%
9 0.2% -
10 0.1% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 8.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.