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Make Tournament

97.8%

Automatic Bid

42.0%

At Large Bid

55.8%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (22.9%)

Final Four

12.3%

NCAA Champs

2.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.1%
24 95.6%
23 81.9%
22 45.3%
21 17.0%
20 1.4%
19 0.0%
OVERALL 97.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.7% 6.5%
2 9.3% 4.6%
3 20.2% 3.5%
4 22.9% 2.6%
5 17.8% 1.9%
6 11.5% 1.5%
7 6.9% 1.1%
8 3.9% 0.9%
9 2.1% 0.7%
10 1.0% 0.7%
11 0.4% 0.6%
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.