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This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2021-22 NCAA Basketball season.
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When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
First Round - higher seed.
Quarterfinals - higher seed.
Semifinals - higher seed.
Championship Game - higher seed.
The 2022 Patriot tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2022 Patriot tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Patriot tournament championship
for every team in the 2022 Patriot bracket.
A team's relative odds to win the 2022 Patriot League Championship depend only partly on their Patriot bracket seed. Winning the Patriot League Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2022 Patriot bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Patriot League Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Patriot League Championship championship than a team with a worse Patriot tournament seed.
In addition, because Patriot tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Patriot conference games, Patriot tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Patriot bracket can have better odds to win the 2022 Patriot League Championship than lower seeded teams in the Patriot bracket.