NEC Tournament Information

2022 Northeast tournament site: Campus Sites
2022 Northeast tournament dates: February 28th, March 2nd, 5th & 8th

These 2022 Northeast tournament advancement odds and average projected seeds are based on our projected conference standings.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.

In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.

  • First Round - higher seed.
  • Quarterfinals - higher seed.
  • Semifinals - higher seed.
  • Championship Game - higher seed.

The 2022 Northeast tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2022 Northeast tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Northeast tournament championship for every team in the 2022 Northeast bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Northeast

These games count in the Northeast Conference standings, but are not recognized by the NCAA, so are not included in overall team records and will not be considered for bracketology purposes:
  • December 28th: Mount St. Mary's forfeit loss to Fairleigh Dickinson
  • December 31st: Mount St. Mary's forfeit loss to Wagner
  • January 6th: Fairleigh Dickinson forfeit loss to Merrimack
  • January 6th: Sacred Heart forfeit loss to Central Connecticut State
  • January 8th: Fairleigh Dickinson forfeit loss to Bryant
  • January 8th: Sacred Heart forfeit loss to Wagner
  Current Projection Playoffs
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Wagner 5 0 16.7 2.3 23.4 4.6 88.3% 68.4%
Bryant 5 1 13.5 5.5 16.5 12.5 8.9% 15.4%
LIU 4 2 11.0 7.0 14.0 14.0 1.6% 7.9%
Merrimack 4 2 9.8 9.2 13.8 17.2 0.3% 2.2%
Mt St Marys 2 3 9.7 9.3 13.7 16.3 0.4% 2.6%
Sacred Hrt 3 2 9.6 9.4 13.6 17.4 0.4% 2.2%
St Fran (PA) 1 5 7.1 10.9 11.1 17.9 0.0% 0.9%
F Dickinson 2 3 6.6 13.4 5.6 22.4 0.0% 0.1%
St Fran (NY) 1 5 5.5 12.5 8.7 21.3 0.0% 0.2%
Central Conn 2 4 5.7 13.3 7.7 23.3 0.0% 0.0%

The 2022 Northeast projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2022 Northeast Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Northeast tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2022 NEC Tournament depend only partly on their Northeast bracket seed. Winning the NEC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2022 Northeast bracket. In some cases, the team with a better NEC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the NEC Tournament championship than a team with a worse Northeast tournament seed.

In addition, because Northeast tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Northeast conference games, Northeast tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Northeast bracket can have better odds to win the 2022 NEC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Northeast bracket.