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2022 SWAC tournament site: Bartow Arena, Birmingham, AL
2022 SWAC tournament dates: March 9th-12th, 2022
When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Semifinals. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.
Seed | Team | Semi | Champ | Win | ||||
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NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
The 2022 SWAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2022 SWAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the SWAC tournament championship for every team in the 2022 SWAC bracket.
Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
Alcorn State | 14 | 4 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 16.0 | 100.0% | 9.2% |
TX Southern | 13 | 5 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 0.0% | 73.4% |
Southern | 12 | 6 | 12.8 | 6.2 | 17.8 | 14.2 | 0.0% | 17.4% |
Florida A&M | 11 | 7 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Alab A&M | 10 | 8 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Grambling St | 9 | 9 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 12.5 | 20.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jackson St | 9 | 9 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Prairie View | 8 | 9 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 8.7 | 20.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Alabama St | 8 | 10 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Beth-Cook | 7 | 11 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ark Pine Bl | 5 | 13 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 24.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Miss Val St | 2 | 16 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 26.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
A team's relative odds to win the 2022 SWAC Championship depend only partly on their SWAC bracket seed. Winning the SWAC Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2022 SWAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better SWAC Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the SWAC Championship championship than a team with a worse SWAC tournament seed.
In addition, because SWAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in SWAC conference games, SWAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the SWAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2022 SWAC Championship than lower seeded teams in the SWAC bracket.
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