NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.
The 2022 MAAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2022 MAAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the MAAC tournament championship
for every team in the 2022 MAAC bracket.
The 2022 MAAC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2022 MAAC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the MAAC tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2022 MAAC Championship depend only partly on their MAAC bracket seed. Winning the MAAC Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2022 MAAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better MAAC Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the MAAC Championship championship than a team with a worse MAAC tournament seed.
In addition, because MAAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in MAAC conference games, MAAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the MAAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2022 MAAC Championship than lower seeded teams in the MAAC bracket.