2023 SEC tournament site: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
2023 SEC tournament dates: March 8th-12th, 2023
These 2023 SEC tournament advancement odds and average projected seeds are based on our projected conference standings.
Seed | Team | R2 | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
The 2023 SEC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2023 SEC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the SEC tournament championship for every team in the 2023 SEC bracket.
Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
Alabama | 10 | 0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 73.8% | 32.6% |
Tennessee | 8 | 2 | 14.3 | 3.7 | 25.3 | 5.7 | 22.9% | 39.0% |
Texas A&M | 8 | 2 | 11.8 | 6.2 | 19.8 | 11.2 | 2.0% | 4.0% |
Kentucky | 7 | 3 | 11.4 | 6.6 | 20.4 | 10.6 | 0.4% | 6.0% |
Auburn | 7 | 3 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 0.7% | 6.2% |
Florida | 6 | 4 | 10.9 | 7.1 | 17.9 | 13.1 | 0.2% | 4.1% |
Missouri | 5 | 5 | 9.4 | 8.6 | 21.4 | 9.6 | 0.0% | 1.4% |
Arkansas | 5 | 5 | 9.2 | 8.8 | 20.2 | 10.8 | 0.0% | 5.2% |
Miss State | 3 | 7 | 7.5 | 10.5 | 19.5 | 11.5 | 0.0% | 1.1% |
Georgia | 4 | 6 | 6.8 | 11.2 | 16.8 | 14.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Vanderbilt | 4 | 6 | 6.7 | 11.3 | 13.7 | 17.3 | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Mississippi | 1 | 9 | 4.4 | 13.6 | 12.4 | 18.6 | 0.0% | 0.1% |
LSU | 1 | 9 | 4.3 | 13.7 | 15.3 | 15.7 | 0.0% | 0.1% |
S Carolina | 1 | 9 | 2.1 | 15.9 | 9.1 | 21.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The 2023 SEC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2023 SEC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the SEC tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2023 SEC Tournament depend only partly on their SEC bracket seed. Winning the SEC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2023 SEC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better SEC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the SEC Tournament championship than a team with a worse SEC tournament seed.
In addition, because SEC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in SEC conference games, SEC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the SEC bracket can have better odds to win the 2023 SEC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the SEC bracket.
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