Pac-12 Tournament Information

2023 Pac-12 tournament site: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
2023 Pac-12 tournament dates: March 8th-11th, 2023

These 2023 Pac-12 tournament advancement odds and average projected seeds are based on our projected conference standings.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.

In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.

  • First Round - neutral site.
  • Quarterfinals - neutral site.
  • Semifinals - neutral site.
  • Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2023 Pac-12 tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2023 Pac-12 tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Pac-12 tournament championship for every team in the 2023 Pac-12 bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Pac-12

  Current Projection Playoffs
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
UCLA 8 2 16.3 3.7 25.3 5.7 70.6% 42.3%
Arizona 8 3 14.8 5.2 25.8 5.2 24.0% 29.1%
USC 7 3 13.3 6.7 21.3 9.7 3.1% 7.0%
Utah 8 4 12.3 7.7 19.3 11.7 1.2% 5.8%
Oregon 7 4 12.1 7.9 18.1 12.9 1.1% 6.3%
Arizona St 6 5 10.6 9.4 19.6 11.4 0.1% 3.4%
Wash State 5 7 9.5 10.5 14.5 16.5 0.0% 2.5%
Washington 5 7 8.0 12.0 16.0 15.0 0.0% 0.3%
Colorado 4 8 7.9 12.1 15.9 15.1 0.0% 2.1%
Stanford 3 7 7.0 13.0 13.0 18.0 0.0% 1.1%
Oregon St 3 8 4.8 15.2 10.8 20.2 0.0% 0.0%
California 2 8 3.3 16.7 4.3 26.7 0.0% 0.0%

The 2023 Pac-12 projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2023 Pac-12 Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Pac-12 tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2023 Pac-12 Tournament depend only partly on their Pac-12 bracket seed. Winning the Pac-12 Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2023 Pac-12 bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Pac-12 Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Pac-12 Tournament championship than a team with a worse Pac-12 tournament seed.

In addition, because Pac-12 tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Pac-12 conference games, Pac-12 tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket can have better odds to win the 2023 Pac-12 Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket.