2023 Pac-12 tournament site: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
2023 Pac-12 tournament dates: March 8th-11th, 2023
These 2023 Pac-12 tournament advancement odds and average projected seeds are based on our projected conference standings.
Seed | Team | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
The 2023 Pac-12 tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2023 Pac-12 tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Pac-12 tournament championship for every team in the 2023 Pac-12 bracket.
Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
UCLA | 8 | 2 | 16.3 | 3.7 | 25.3 | 5.7 | 70.6% | 42.3% |
Arizona | 8 | 3 | 14.8 | 5.2 | 25.8 | 5.2 | 24.0% | 29.1% |
USC | 7 | 3 | 13.3 | 6.7 | 21.3 | 9.7 | 3.1% | 7.0% |
Utah | 8 | 4 | 12.3 | 7.7 | 19.3 | 11.7 | 1.2% | 5.8% |
Oregon | 7 | 4 | 12.1 | 7.9 | 18.1 | 12.9 | 1.1% | 6.3% |
Arizona St | 6 | 5 | 10.6 | 9.4 | 19.6 | 11.4 | 0.1% | 3.4% |
Wash State | 5 | 7 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 14.5 | 16.5 | 0.0% | 2.5% |
Washington | 5 | 7 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 15.0 | 0.0% | 0.3% |
Colorado | 4 | 8 | 7.9 | 12.1 | 15.9 | 15.1 | 0.0% | 2.1% |
Stanford | 3 | 7 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 0.0% | 1.1% |
Oregon St | 3 | 8 | 4.8 | 15.2 | 10.8 | 20.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
California | 2 | 8 | 3.3 | 16.7 | 4.3 | 26.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The 2023 Pac-12 projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2023 Pac-12 Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Pac-12 tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2023 Pac-12 Tournament depend only partly on their Pac-12 bracket seed. Winning the Pac-12 Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2023 Pac-12 bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Pac-12 Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Pac-12 Tournament championship than a team with a worse Pac-12 tournament seed.
In addition, because Pac-12 tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Pac-12 conference games, Pac-12 tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket can have better odds to win the 2023 Pac-12 Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket.
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