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1. Who’s Your Favorite NCAAB Team?

Basketball Bracketology Trends 2022

Every day, we run thousands of computer simulations of the college basketball season, including all remaining regular season games, all conference tournaments, NCAA selection and seeding, and the NCAA tournament itself.

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team	Now	Yesterday	Change
Marquette	41.7%	30.6%	11.1%
Saint Louis	31.7%	26.8%	4.9%
Creighton	11.4%	6.6%	4.8%
Chattanooga	29.8%	26.0%	3.8%
Davidson	20.6%	16.9%	3.7%
San Diego St	54.9%	51.5%	3.4%
Texas State	14.0%	10.7%	3.3%
Syracuse	13.5%	10.3%	3.2%
W Kentucky	10.7%	7.8%	2.9%
Ohio State	96.6%	93.7%	2.9%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team	Now	Yesterday	Change
Clemson	23.1%	34.5%	-11.4%
Florida St	81.3%	88.5%	-7.3%
N Mex State	24.4%	31.2%	-6.8%
Indiana	74.3%	81.0%	-6.7%
Boise State	27.3%	33.3%	-6.0%
Northwestern	18.0%	22.8%	-4.8%
Furman	27.9%	31.5%	-3.6%
Jackson St	10.6%	13.7%	-3.1%
Connecticut	93.2%	96.2%	-3.0%
Virginia	38.2%	40.9%	-2.6%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team	Now	1 Week Ago	Change
Louisville	71.9%	43.9%	28.0%
Iowa State	19.1%	0.8%	18.2%
San Fransco	42.4%	24.3%	18.1%
VCU	26.9%	9.8%	17.1%
Navy	32.7%	16.6%	16.1%
Harvard	28.3%	14.7%	13.6%
Rhode Island	22.0%	9.3%	12.8%
N Carolina	61.8%	50.5%	11.3%
DePaul	22.5%	11.3%	11.2%
BYU	83.6%	73.9%	9.7%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team	Now	1 Week Ago	Change
Boise State	27.3%	60.3%	-33.0%
Wash State	18.6%	42.4%	-23.8%
Colgate	46.7%	67.1%	-20.4%
St Bonavent	67.7%	87.8%	-20.1%
Arizona St	12.4%	32.5%	-20.1%
Richmond	25.3%	42.5%	-17.2%
Cincinnati	22.2%	38.4%	-16.1%
Clemson	23.1%	38.7%	-15.6%
Florida St	81.3%	93.6%	-12.3%
Utah	21.9%	33.8%	-11.9%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team	Now	3 Weeks Ago	Change
Utah State	61.6%	13.2%	48.4%
Wisconsin	82.8%	41.4%	41.4%
Xavier	88.2%	51.8%	36.4%
BYU	83.6%	49.5%	34.1%
Arizona	99.6%	70.2%	29.4%
Iowa	93.1%	65.7%	27.3%
Oakland	32.9%	5.8%	27.2%
Florida	96.9%	70.9%	26.0%
Michigan St	97.1%	71.2%	25.9%
Wagner	46.8%	21.0%	25.8%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team	Now	3 Weeks Ago	Change
Arizona St	12.4%	54.7%	-42.3%
Oregon	47.5%	85.6%	-38.1%
S Methodist	3.0%	40.8%	-37.7%
Maryland	44.9%	82.2%	-37.3%
Notre Dame	6.5%	42.7%	-36.1%
Penn State	28.4%	61.7%	-33.4%
Rutgers	2.9%	31.8%	-29.0%
Morgan St	19.3%	47.7%	-28.4%
Syracuse	13.5%	39.5%	-26.0%
St Johns	17.7%	43.2%	-25.5%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team	Now	Yesterday	Change
Purdue	48.5%	42.2%	6.3%
Chattanooga	29.8%	26.0%	3.8%
Texas State	14.0%	10.7%	3.3%
Villanova	35.6%	32.4%	3.2%
W Kentucky	10.7%	7.8%	2.9%
Kent State	10.2%	7.4%	2.8%
Tennessee	12.3%	9.4%	2.8%
Campbell	17.9%	15.5%	2.4%
Grd Canyon	25.7%	23.6%	2.1%
Oral Roberts	17.1%	15.4%	1.8%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team	Now	Yesterday	Change
Connecticut	26.1%	33.4%	-7.3%
N Mex State	24.4%	31.2%	-6.8%
Furman	27.8%	31.4%	-3.6%
Florida St	11.8%	14.9%	-3.2%
Jackson St	10.6%	13.7%	-3.1%
Buffalo	27.0%	28.9%	-1.9%
N Dakota St	6.8%	8.7%	-1.9%
Indiana	5.1%	6.9%	-1.8%
Radford	4.9%	6.2%	-1.4%
Army	1.0%	2.4%	-1.3%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team	Now	1 Week Ago	Change
Navy	32.7%	16.6%	16.1%
Houston	54.9%	40.6%	14.2%
Harvard	28.3%	14.7%	13.6%
Purdue	48.5%	35.5%	13.0%
Villanova	35.6%	27.1%	8.5%
Jksnville St	27.1%	20.4%	6.7%
Texas State	14.0%	7.3%	6.7%
Duke	38.1%	31.5%	6.6%
Loyola-Chi	52.3%	45.8%	6.5%
Monmouth	25.7%	19.2%	6.4%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team	Now	1 Week Ago	Change
Colgate	46.7%	67.1%	-20.4%
St Bonavent	29.5%	42.5%	-12.9%
Princeton	23.7%	34.9%	-11.2%
Georgia St	24.2%	35.0%	-10.7%
Drake	23.0%	33.8%	-10.7%
N Mex State	24.4%	34.5%	-10.0%
UCSB	23.0%	32.4%	-9.4%
Memphis	26.3%	35.6%	-9.3%
Florida St	11.8%	20.8%	-9.0%
Boise State	11.8%	20.7%	-8.9%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team	Now	3 Weeks Ago	Change
Arizona	45.1%	10.7%	34.4%
Oakland	32.9%	5.8%	27.2%
Purdue	48.5%	21.5%	27.0%
Houston	54.9%	28.3%	26.6%
Wagner	46.8%	21.0%	25.8%
UC Irvine	49.3%	27.8%	21.5%
Weber State	46.6%	29.3%	17.3%
Navy	32.7%	15.9%	16.8%
Baylor	32.6%	16.7%	15.9%
Norfolk St	32.0%	16.5%	15.5%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team	Now	3 Weeks Ago	Change
Morgan St	19.3%	47.7%	-28.4%
Colgate	46.7%	68.7%	-22.0%
Wright State	11.3%	32.9%	-21.6%
Bryant	18.3%	39.6%	-21.4%
N Mex State	24.4%	40.9%	-16.5%
N Dakota St	6.8%	22.7%	-15.9%
Michigan	9.2%	24.3%	-15.1%
Northeastrn	19.2%	33.9%	-14.6%
Liberty	19.9%	33.8%	-14.0%
St Bonavent	29.5%	42.5%	-13.0%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed

Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team	Now	Yesterday	Change
Purdue	69.1%	56.6%	12.5%
Tennessee	8.4%	5.1%	3.2%
Villanova	11.1%	9.2%	1.9%
Texas	8.4%	7.4%	1.0%
Ohio State	3.2%	2.2%	0.9%
Seton Hall	4.5%	3.9%	0.6%
LSU	18.3%	17.8%	0.5%
Xavier	1.7%	1.4%	0.3%
Baylor	32.6%	32.5%	0.1%
BYU	1.1%	1.0%	0.1%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team	Now	Yesterday	Change
Duke	12.3%	21.8%	-9.5%
Connecticut	6.5%	11.8%	-5.3%
Indiana	1.1%	2.4%	-1.3%
Florida St	0.4%	1.2%	-0.9%
Houston	15.4%	16.2%	-0.8%
Florida	16.4%	17.2%	-0.7%
Arizona	33.4%	34.0%	-0.7%
Alabama	14.2%	14.8%	-0.6%
Iowa	7.1%	7.5%	-0.4%
Michigan St	3.6%	3.8%	-0.2%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team	Now	1 Week Ago	Change
Purdue	69.1%	45.1%	24.0%
Baylor	32.6%	19.9%	12.7%
Houston	15.4%	7.9%	7.5%
Florida	16.4%	10.2%	6.3%
Arizona	33.4%	28.3%	5.0%
Auburn	11.2%	6.8%	4.4%
LSU	18.3%	15.3%	3.0%
Iowa	7.1%	4.3%	2.8%
Texas Tech	5.6%	3.2%	2.4%
Villanova	11.1%	9.0%	2.0%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team	Now	1 Week Ago	Change
Gonzaga	57.2%	84.0%	-26.8%
Memphis	3.9%	12.2%	-8.3%
Kansas	22.7%	30.7%	-8.0%
Seton Hall	4.5%	12.0%	-7.5%
Connecticut	6.5%	14.0%	-7.4%
VA Tech	1.0%	5.3%	-4.2%
Florida St	0.4%	3.5%	-3.1%
Indiana	1.1%	3.3%	-2.2%
Michigan St	3.6%	5.4%	-1.8%
Michigan	3.3%	5.1%	-1.8%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team	Now	3 Weeks Ago	Change
Purdue	69.1%	27.3%	41.8%
Arizona	33.4%	2.4%	31.0%
Baylor	32.6%	5.7%	26.9%
Florida	16.4%	3.2%	13.2%
LSU	18.3%	7.0%	11.3%
Houston	15.4%	7.7%	7.7%
Iowa	7.1%	2.8%	4.2%
Gonzaga	57.2%	53.4%	3.8%
Seton Hall	4.5%	1.9%	2.6%
Texas Tech	5.6%	3.1%	2.5%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team	Now	3 Weeks Ago	Change
UCLA	6.1%	28.6%	-22.6%
Michigan	3.3%	23.1%	-19.8%
Illinois	1.0%	17.4%	-16.4%
Texas	8.4%	21.2%	-12.8%
Alabama	14.2%	24.5%	-10.3%
Kansas	22.7%	31.8%	-9.1%
Villanova	11.1%	19.3%	-8.2%
Memphis	3.9%	11.5%	-7.5%
Oregon	0.0%	7.5%	-7.5%
USC	5.2%	11.2%	-6.1%

Projected Avg. Seed

Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team	Now	Yesterday	Change
New Mexico	12.9	13.9	-1.0
Georgetown	10.6	11.5	-0.9
Tennessee	5.7	6.5	-0.8
W Michigan	14.6	15.3	-0.8
Ohio State	6.3	7.0	-0.7
San Diego	11.9	12.5	-0.6
Central Mich	14.8	15.4	-0.6
N Illinois	14.5	15.0	-0.5
Fordham	14.1	14.6	-0.5
Saint Louis	9.1	9.6	-0.4

Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team	Now	Yesterday	Change
E Carolina	13.6	12.8	0.8
Tulane	13.4	12.6	0.8
Florida St	7.5	6.8	0.7
Connecticut	4.8	4.1	0.7
Lamar	14.7	14.1	0.6
Rice	14.4	13.8	0.6
Indiana	6.9	6.3	0.5
Boise State	9.7	9.2	0.5
N Mex State	12.8	12.4	0.5
Duke	3.7	3.2	0.4

Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team	Now	1 Week Ago	Change
Dayton	11.4	13.3	-1.9
Geo Wshgtn	14.4	15.9	-1.5
N Illinois	14.5	15.9	-1.4
Auburn	4.8	6.0	-1.2
Louisville	8.0	9.0	-1.1
Rhode Island	9.6	10.6	-1.0
Houston	3.4	4.4	-1.0
Lamar	14.7	15.7	-1.0
Baylor	3.0	4.0	-0.9
Monmouth	13.0	13.8	-0.9

Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team	Now	1 Week Ago	Change
E Carolina	13.6	11.7	1.9
Drake	11.7	9.8	1.9
Florida St	7.5	5.9	1.7
Tulane	13.4	11.9	1.5
Miami (FL)	10.7	9.3	1.4
Boise State	9.7	8.3	1.3
San Diego	11.9	10.7	1.2
St Bonavent	7.9	6.7	1.2
Central Ark	15.7	14.6	1.1
Seton Hall	5.4	4.3	1.1

Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team	Now	3 Weeks Ago	Change
Wyoming	8.1	12.3	-4.2
Arizona	2.7	6.4	-3.7
Baylor	3.0	6.0	-2.9
Florida	4.1	6.5	-2.4
Utah State	7.9	10.1	-2.2
Cornell	13.5	15.6	-2.1
Dartmouth	13.6	15.7	-2.0
Air Force	13.7	15.7	-2.0
Monmouth	13.0	14.9	-1.9
Purdue	1.6	3.5	-1.9

Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team	Now	3 Weeks Ago	Change
Illinois	8.0	4.3	3.7
S Methodist	9.9	6.3	3.6
Oregon	8.9	5.3	3.6
Maryland	9.7	6.4	3.3
Pacific	13.5	10.2	3.3
Michigan	6.7	3.9	2.7
Loyola-Chi	9.8	7.4	2.4
Wright State	15.7	13.4	2.2
N Carolina	9.1	6.8	2.2
Colgate	13.8	11.6	2.2

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