Gasparilla Bowl: Memphis vs. NC State: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Dec 19, 2025 2:30 pm - Tampa, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: NC State by 3.5, Total Points: 56.5

Matchup Menu: MEM vs. NCST

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 56.0 Official TR Pick 53% odds to go under
Under 56.0 Similar Games 61% odds to go under
Under 56.0 Decision Tree 53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record MEM NCST
Season 7-6-0 7-6-0
vs Conference 5-3-0 6-3-0
Streak Un 2 Un 1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 5-5-0
Home 4-2-0 4-3-0
Away 3-4-0 3-3-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Memphis Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/30 Home Chattanooga 54.5 45-10 Over +0.5
09/06 Away Georgia St 57.5 38-16 Under -3.5
09/13 Away Troy 51.0 28-7 Under -16.0
09/20 Home Arkansas 59.5 32-31 Over +3.5
09/27 Away Florida Atlantic 62.5 55-26 Over +18.5
10/04 Home Tulsa 55.0 45-7 Under -3.0
10/18 Away UAB 63.5 24-31 Under -8.5
10/25 Home S Florida 59.5 34-31 Over +5.5
10/31 Away Rice 48.5 38-14 Over +3.5
11/07 Home Tulane 54.5 32-38 Over +15.5
11/15 Away E Carolina 57.0 27-31 Over +1.0
11/27 Home Navy 58.0 17-28 Under -13.0
12/19 Neutral NC State 56.5 7-31 Under -18.5

NC State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/28 Home E Carolina 61.5 24-17 Under -20.5
09/06 Home Virginia 53.5 35-31 Over +12.5
09/11 Away Wake Forest 52.5 34-24 Over +5.5
09/20 Away Duke 56.5 33-45 Over +21.5
09/27 Home Virginia Tech 57.5 21-23 Under -13.5
10/04 Home Campbell 62.5 56-10 Over +3.5
10/11 Away Notre Dame 59.5 7-36 Under -16.5
10/25 Away Pittsburgh 53.5 34-53 Over +33.5
11/01 Home Georgia Tech 58.5 48-36 Over +25.5
11/15 Away Miami 54.5 7-41 Under -6.5
11/21 Home Florida St 58.5 21-11 Under -26.5
11/29 Home North Carolina 49.0 42-19 Over +12.0
12/19 Neutral Memphis 56.5 31-7 Under -18.5