Gasparilla Bowl: Memphis vs. NC State: Money Line Analysis
Friday Dec 19, 2025 2:30 pm -
Tampa, FL
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
NC State by 3.5,
Total Points:
56.5
Matchup Menu: MEM vs. NCST
Money Line Predictions
| Value Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| NC State -154 | Official TR Pick | Model shows 2% value |
| NC State -154 | Power Ratings | Model shows 8% value |
| NC State -154 | Similar Games | Model shows 1% value |
Money Line Situational Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-1 | 1-1 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0 | 0-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-1 | 1-1 | |
| Home | 1-0 | 1-0 | |
| Away | 1-1 | 0-1 |
Memphis Detailed Win/Loss Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Score | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/30 | Home | Chattanooga | 45-10 | W | +35.0 |
| 09/06 | Away | Georgia St | 38-16 | W | +22.0 |
| 09/13 | Away | Troy | 28-7 | W | +21.0 |
| 09/20 | Home | Arkansas | 32-31 | W | +1.0 |
| 09/27 | Away | Florida Atlantic | 55-26 | W | +29.0 |
| 10/04 | Home | Tulsa | 45-7 | W | +38.0 |
| 10/18 | Away | UAB | 24-31 | L | -7.0 |
| 10/25 | Home | S Florida | 34-31 | W | +3.0 |
| 10/31 | Away | Rice | 38-14 | W | +24.0 |
| 11/07 | Home | Tulane | 32-38 | L | -6.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | E Carolina | 27-31 | L | -4.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | Navy | 17-28 | L | -11.0 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | NC State | 7-31 | L | -24.0 |
NC State Detailed Win/Loss Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Score | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/28 | Home | E Carolina | 24-17 | W | +7.0 |
| 09/06 | Home | Virginia | 35-31 | W | +4.0 |
| 09/11 | Away | Wake Forest | 34-24 | W | +10.0 |
| 09/20 | Away | Duke | 33-45 | L | -12.0 |
| 09/27 | Home | Virginia Tech | 21-23 | L | -2.0 |
| 10/04 | Home | Campbell | 56-10 | W | +46.0 |
| 10/11 | Away | Notre Dame | 7-36 | L | -29.0 |
| 10/25 | Away | Pittsburgh | 34-53 | L | -19.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Georgia Tech | 48-36 | W | +12.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | Miami | 7-41 | L | -34.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Florida St | 21-11 | W | +10.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | North Carolina | 42-19 | W | +23.0 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Memphis | 31-7 | W | +24.0 |