Gasparilla Bowl: Memphis vs. NC State: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Dec 19, 2025 2:30 pm - Tampa, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: NC State by 3.5, Total Points: 56.5

Matchup Menu: MEM vs. NCST

More Games From Bowl Week

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
NC State -3.5 Official TR Pick NC State 51% odds to cover
NC State -3.5 Power Ratings NC State 59% odds to cover
NC State -3.5 Similar Games NC State 57% odds to cover
NC State -3.5 Decision Tree NC State 51% odds to cover
Memphis +3.5 Predictive Ratings Memphis 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MEM adv NCST
Season 8-5-0 7-6-0
vs Conference 4-4-0 5-4-0
Streak L4 W3
Last 5 1-4-0 4-1-0
Last 10 5-5-0 5-5-0
Home 4-2-0 5-2-0
Away 4-3-0 2-4-0

Memphis Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Home Chattanooga -30.5 W by 35 +4.5
09/06 Away Georgia St -15.0 W by 22 +7.0
09/13 Away Troy -4.0 W by 21 +17.0
09/20 Home Arkansas +7.5 W by 1 +8.5
09/27 Away Florida Atlantic -14.0 W by 29 +15.0
10/04 Home Tulsa -21.0 W by 38 +17.0
10/18 Away UAB -24.5 L by 7 -31.5
10/25 Home S Florida +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
10/31 Away Rice -14.0 W by 24 +10.0
11/07 Home Tulane -3.0 L by 6 -9.0
11/15 Away E Carolina +3.0 L by 4 -1.0
11/27 Home Navy -3.5 L by 11 -14.5
12/19 Neutral NC State +3.5 L by 24 -20.5

NC State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/28 Home E Carolina -14.0 W by 7 -7.0
09/06 Home Virginia -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
09/11 Away Wake Forest -7.0 W by 10 +3.0
09/20 Away Duke +3.0 L by 12 -9.0
09/27 Home Virginia Tech -9.5 L by 2 -11.5
10/04 Home Campbell -42.5 W by 46 +3.5
10/11 Away Notre Dame +23.5 L by 29 -5.5
10/25 Away Pittsburgh +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
11/01 Home Georgia Tech +4.5 W by 12 +16.5
11/15 Away Miami +16.0 L by 34 -18.0
11/21 Home Florida St +6.5 W by 10 +16.5
11/29 Home North Carolina -7.0 W by 23 +16.0
12/19 Neutral Memphis -3.5 W by 24 +20.5