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USC at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis

Monday Jan 5, 2026 8:30 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan State by 12, Total Points: 150.5

Matchup Menu: USC @ MSU

More Games From Jan 5, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Michigan St -12.0 Official TR Pick Michigan St 55% odds to cover
Michigan St -12.0 Similar Games Michigan St 58% odds to cover
Michigan St -12.0 Decision Tree Michigan St 56% odds to cover
USC +12.0 Power Rating Model USC 67% odds to cover
USC +12.0 Predictive Ratings USC 61% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record USC adv MSU
Season 13-18-0 17-16-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-13-0 11-9-1
Streak L7 L1
Last 5 0-5-0 3-2-0
Last 10 2-8-0 6-4-0
Home 6-9-0 7-9-1
Away 7-9-0 10-7-1

USC Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Cal Poly -25.0 W by 30 +5.0
11/09 Home Manhattan -28.0 W by 31 +3.0
11/14 Neutral Illinois St -15.5 W by 20 +4.5
11/20 Home Troy -17.5 W by 1 -16.5
11/24 Neutral Boise St -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
11/25 Neutral Seton Hall -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/26 Neutral Arizona St -5.0 W by 13 +8.0
12/02 Away Oregon -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
12/06 Home Washington -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
12/09 Away San Diego -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
12/14 Home Washington St -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
12/17 Home UTSA -25.5 W by 27 +1.5
12/21 Home UC Santa Cruz -- W by 39 --
01/02 Away Michigan +22.5 L by 30 -7.5
01/05 Away Michigan St +12.0 L by 29 -17.0
01/09 Away Minnesota +3.5 W by 1 +4.5
01/13 Home Maryland -9.5 W by 17 +7.5
01/17 Home Purdue +9.0 L by 5 +4.0
01/21 Home Northwestern -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
01/25 Away Wisconsin +8.0 W by 2 +10.0
01/28 Away Iowa +9.0 L by 1 +8.0
01/31 Home Rutgers -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
02/03 Home Indiana +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
02/08 Away Penn St -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
02/11 Away Ohio St +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/18 Home Illinois +10.0 L by 36 -26.0
02/21 Home Oregon -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
02/24 Away UCLA +6.5 L by 19 -12.5
02/28 Home Nebraska +5.5 L by 15 -9.5
03/04 Away Washington +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
03/07 Home UCLA +4.5 L by 21 -16.5
03/11 Neutral Washington +3.5 L by 4 -0.5

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Colgate -22.0 W by 11 -11.0
11/08 Home Arkansas -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
11/13 Home San Jose St -24.5 W by 19 -5.5
11/18 Neutral Kentucky +3.5 W by 17 +20.5
11/21 Home Detroit Mercy -30.5 W by 28 -2.5
11/25 Neutral E Carolina -20.0 W by 33 +13.0
11/27 Neutral North Carolina -1.0 W by 16 +15.0
12/02 Home Iowa -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
12/06 Home Duke +1.0 L by 6 -5.0
12/13 Away Penn St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
12/16 Home Toledo -23.0 W by 23 0.0
12/20 Neutral Oakland -20.0 W by 9 -11.0
12/29 Home Cornell -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
01/02 Away Nebraska +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/05 Home USC -12.0 W by 29 +17.0
01/08 Home Northwestern -13.0 W by 10 -3.0
01/13 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 21 +14.5
01/17 Away Washington -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
01/20 Away Oregon -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
01/24 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 43 +24.5
01/27 Away Rutgers -14.5 W by 9 -5.5
01/30 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
02/04 Away Minnesota -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
02/07 Home Illinois -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/13 Away Wisconsin -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
02/17 Home UCLA -8.0 W by 23 +15.0
02/22 Home Ohio St -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
02/26 Away Purdue +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
03/01 Away Indiana -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
03/05 Home Rutgers -19.5 W by 4 -15.5
03/08 Away Michigan +10.5 L by 10 +0.5
03/13 Neutral UCLA -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
03/19 Neutral N Dakota St -15.5 W by 25 +9.5
03/21 Neutral Louisville -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/27 Neutral UConn +2.5 L by 4 -1.5