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USC at Michigan St: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Jan 5, 2026 8:30 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan State by 12, Total Points: 150.5

Matchup Menu: USC @ MSU

More Games From Jan 5, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 150.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 150.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go under
Under 150.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	USC	MSU
Season	17-14-0	16-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-10-0	11-10-0
Streak	Ov 3	Un 2
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-4-0
Home	9-6-0	7-10-0
Away	8-8-0	9-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

USC Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Cal Poly	164.5	94-64	Under	-6.5
11/09	Home	Manhattan	155.0	114-83	Over	+42.0
11/14	Neutral	Illinois St	154.5	87-67	Under	-0.5
11/20	Home	Troy	159.0	107-106	Over	+54.0
11/24	Neutral	Boise St	154.5	70-67	Under	-17.5
11/25	Neutral	Seton Hall	145.5	83-81	Over	+18.5
11/26	Neutral	Arizona St	161.5	88-75	Over	+1.5
12/02	Away	Oregon	154.0	82-77	Over	+5.0
12/06	Home	Washington	153.5	76-84	Over	+6.5
12/09	Away	San Diego	158.5	94-81	Over	+16.5
12/14	Home	Washington St	156.5	68-61	Under	-27.5
12/17	Home	UTSA	157.5	97-70	Over	+9.5
12/21	Home	UC Santa Cruz	--	102-63	Under	--
01/02	Away	Michigan	173.5	66-96	Under	-11.5
01/05	Away	Michigan St	150.5	51-80	Under	-19.5
01/09	Away	Minnesota	147.0	70-69	Under	-8.0
01/13	Home	Maryland	151.0	88-71	Over	+8.0
01/17	Home	Purdue	155.5	64-69	Under	-22.5
01/21	Home	Northwestern	149.5	68-74	Under	-7.5
01/25	Away	Wisconsin	158.5	73-71	Under	-14.5
01/28	Away	Iowa	141.0	72-73	Over	+4.0
01/31	Home	Rutgers	145.5	78-75	Over	+7.5
02/03	Home	Indiana	154.0	81-75	Over	+2.0
02/08	Away	Penn St	156.5	77-75	Under	-4.5
02/11	Away	Ohio St	151.5	82-89	Over	+19.5
02/18	Home	Illinois	149.5	65-101	Over	+16.5
02/21	Home	Oregon	149.5	70-71	Under	-8.5
02/24	Away	UCLA	150.5	62-81	Under	-7.5
02/28	Home	Nebraska	149.5	67-82	Under	-0.5
03/04	Away	Washington	151.5	72-91	Over	+11.5
03/07	Home	UCLA	151.5	68-89	Over	+5.5
03/11	Neutral	Washington	154.5	79-83	Over	+7.5

Michigan St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Colgate	144.5	80-69	Over	+4.5
11/08	Home	Arkansas	155.5	69-66	Under	-20.5
11/13	Home	San Jose St	143.0	79-60	Under	-4.0
11/18	Neutral	Kentucky	153.0	83-66	Under	-4.0
11/21	Home	Detroit Mercy	152.5	84-56	Under	-12.5
11/25	Neutral	E Carolina	142.0	89-56	Over	+3.0
11/27	Neutral	North Carolina	152.5	74-58	Under	-20.5
12/02	Home	Iowa	134.0	71-52	Under	-11.0
12/06	Home	Duke	141.5	60-66	Under	-15.5
12/13	Away	Penn St	145.0	76-72	Over	+3.0
12/16	Home	Toledo	150.5	92-69	Over	+10.5
12/20	Neutral	Oakland	154.5	79-70	Under	-5.5
12/29	Home	Cornell	160.5	114-97	Over	+50.5
01/02	Away	Nebraska	146.5	56-58	Under	-32.5
01/05	Home	USC	150.5	80-51	Under	-19.5
01/08	Home	Northwestern	144.0	76-66	Under	-2.0
01/13	Home	Indiana	145.5	81-60	Under	-4.5
01/17	Away	Washington	146.0	80-63	Under	-3.0
01/20	Away	Oregon	140.0	68-52	Under	-20.0
01/24	Home	Maryland	139.5	91-48	Under	-0.5
01/27	Away	Rutgers	139.0	88-79	Over	+28.0
01/30	Home	Michigan	150.5	71-83	Over	+3.5
02/04	Away	Minnesota	134.5	73-76	Over	+14.5
02/07	Home	Illinois	143.5	85-82	Over	+23.5
02/13	Away	Wisconsin	148.0	71-92	Over	+15.0
02/17	Home	UCLA	139.5	82-59	Over	+1.5
02/22	Home	Ohio St	146.5	66-60	Under	-20.5
02/26	Away	Purdue	143.5	76-74	Over	+6.5
03/01	Away	Indiana	144.5	77-64	Under	-3.5
03/05	Home	Rutgers	141.5	91-87	Over	+36.5
03/08	Away	Michigan	152.5	80-90	Over	+17.5
03/13	Neutral	UCLA	141.5	84-88	Over	+30.5
03/19	Neutral	N Dakota St	143.5	92-67	Over	+15.5
03/21	Neutral	Louisville	151.5	77-69	Under	-5.5
03/27	Neutral	UConn	136.5	63-67	Under	-6.5