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USC at Michigan St: Money Line Analysis
Monday Jan 5, 2026 8:30 pm -
East Lansing, MI
Odds:
Michigan State by 12,
Total Points:
150.5
Matchup Menu: USC @ MSU
Money Line Predictions
| Value Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Michigan St -750 | Official TR Pick | Model shows 1% value |
| USC +534 | Power Rating Model | Model shows 5% value |
| USC +534 | Similar Games | Model shows 2% value |
| USC +534 | Decision Tree | Model shows 11% value |
| USC +534 | Predictive Ratings | Model shows 5% value |
Money Line Situational Trends
| Record | USC | adv | MSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-13 | 25-6 | |
| vs Division | 0-0 | 0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-14 | 15-6 | |
| Streak | L8 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 9-7 | 15-2 | |
| Away | 9-7 | 12-6 |
USC Detailed Win/Loss Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Score | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Cal Poly | 94-64 | W | +30.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Manhattan | 114-83 | W | +31.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Illinois St | 87-67 | W | +20.0 |
| 11/20 | Home | Troy | 107-106 | W | +1.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Boise St | 70-67 | W | +3.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Seton Hall | 83-81 | W | +2.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Arizona St | 88-75 | W | +13.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | 82-77 | W | +5.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Washington | 76-84 | L | -8.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | San Diego | 94-81 | W | +13.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Washington St | 68-61 | W | +7.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | UTSA | 97-70 | W | +27.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | UC Santa Cruz | 102-63 | W | +39.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Michigan | 66-96 | L | -30.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Michigan St | 51-80 | L | -29.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Minnesota | 70-69 | W | +1.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Maryland | 88-71 | W | +17.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Purdue | 64-69 | L | -5.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Northwestern | 68-74 | L | -6.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | Wisconsin | 73-71 | W | +2.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Iowa | 72-73 | L | -1.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Rutgers | 78-75 | W | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Indiana | 81-75 | W | +6.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Penn St | 77-75 | W | +2.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Ohio St | 82-89 | L | -7.0 |
| 02/18 | Home | Illinois | 65-101 | L | -36.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Oregon | 70-71 | L | -1.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UCLA | 62-81 | L | -19.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Nebraska | 67-82 | L | -15.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | Washington | 72-91 | L | -19.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | UCLA | 68-89 | L | -21.0 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Washington | 79-83 | L | -4.0 |
Michigan St Detailed Win/Loss Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Score | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Colgate | 80-69 | W | +11.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Arkansas | 69-66 | W | +3.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | San Jose St | 79-60 | W | +19.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Kentucky | 83-66 | W | +17.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Detroit Mercy | 84-56 | W | +28.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | E Carolina | 89-56 | W | +33.0 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | North Carolina | 74-58 | W | +16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Iowa | 71-52 | W | +19.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Duke | 60-66 | L | -6.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Penn St | 76-72 | W | +4.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Toledo | 92-69 | W | +23.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oakland | 79-70 | W | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Cornell | 114-97 | W | +17.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Nebraska | 56-58 | L | -2.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | USC | 80-51 | W | +29.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Northwestern | 76-66 | W | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Indiana | 81-60 | W | +21.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Washington | 80-63 | W | +17.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Oregon | 68-52 | W | +16.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Maryland | 91-48 | W | +43.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Rutgers | 88-79 | W | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | 71-83 | L | -12.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Minnesota | 73-76 | L | -3.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Illinois | 85-82 | W | +3.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Wisconsin | 71-92 | L | -21.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | UCLA | 82-59 | W | +23.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Ohio St | 66-60 | W | +6.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Purdue | 76-74 | W | +2.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Indiana | 77-64 | W | +13.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Rutgers | 91-87 | W | +4.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Michigan | 80-90 | L | -10.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | UCLA | 84-88 | L | -4.0 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | N Dakota St | 92-67 | W | +25.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Louisville | 77-69 | W | +8.0 |
| 03/27 | Neutral | UConn | 63-67 | L | -4.0 |