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USC at Michigan St: Recap

Monday Jan 5, 2026 8:30 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan State by 12, Total Points: 150.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Michigan St USC 10.9%
MSU 89.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MSU -12.0 USC 45.1%
MSU 54.9%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 150.5 Over 47.1%
Under 52.9%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MSU -750 USC -4.9%
MSU +0.9%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
USC 68.0 69.2 51
MSU 81.2 81.2 80

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat USC MSU
Points/Game 77.8 78.8
Avg Score Margin -0.6 +10.5
Assists/Game 14.9 18.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 35.9 39.7
Effective FG % 50.4% 53.8%
Off Rebound % 30.4% 36.3%
FTA/FGA 0.442 0.359
Turnover % 15.1% 14.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat USC MSU
Opp Points/Game 78.4 68.3
Opp Effective FG % 49.7% 48.9%
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.5 10.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 23.2 25.9
Blocks/Game 5.5 4.1
Steals/Game 6.2 5.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.8 16.0