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USC at Michigan St: Point Spread Line Movement

Monday Jan 5, 2026 8:30 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan State by 12, Total Points: 150.5

MSU -12.0 Open -10.0 High -12.0
Last -10.5 Low -10.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1811 games where the closing line favored the home team by 11 to 13 points. In these games:

  • The team like Michigan State won the game 1576 times (87.0%).
  • The team like USC won the game 235 times (13.0%).
  • The team like USC did better against the spread, going 953-828-30 (53.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 984 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like USC did better against the spread, going 497-465-22 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -11.5 -12.5 --
Open -10.5 -10.5 --
History
01/05 08:35 PM -- -12.5 --
01/05 08:28 PM -11.5 -- --
01/05 08:05 PM -- -11.5 --
01/05 07:45 PM -- -11.5 --
01/05 07:40 PM -11.5 -- --
01/05 07:05 PM -- -10.5 --
01/05 07:00 PM -10.5 -- --
01/05 06:45 PM -- -10.5 --
01/05 06:36 PM -11.5 -- --
01/05 04:55 PM -- -10.5 --
01/05 04:48 PM -10.5 -- --
01/05 01:15 PM -- -10.5 --
01/05 01:10 PM -10.5 -- --
01/05 10:45 AM -- -10.5 --
01/05 10:40 AM -10.5 -- --
01/05 10:25 AM -- -11.5 --
01/05 09:55 AM -- -10.5 --
01/05 09:52 AM -10.5 -- --
01/05 07:24 AM -11.5 -- --
01/05 12:40 AM -11.5 -- --
01/04 10:35 PM -- -11.5 --
01/04 10:28 PM -11.5 -- --
01/04 09:45 PM -- -10.5 --
01/04 09:44 PM -10.5 -- --
01/04 03:28 PM -10.5 -- --
01/04 02:55 PM -- -10.5 --