Boca Raton Bowl: Toledo vs. Louisville: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Dec 23, 2025 2:00 pm - Boca Raton, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Louisville by 12.5, Total Points: 44.5

Matchup Menu: TOL vs. LOU

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 44.5 Official TR Pick 50% odds to go over
Over 44.5 Decision Tree 50% odds to go over
Under 44.5 Similar Games 52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record TOL LOU
Season 7-6-0 6-7-0
vs Conference 3-4-0 3-5-0
Streak Ov 1 Ov 1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 5-1-0 4-4-0
Away 2-5-0 2-3-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/30 Away Kentucky 49.0 16-24 Under -9.0
09/06 Home W Kentucky 57.5 45-21 Over +8.5
09/13 Home Morgan St 54.5 60-0 Over +5.5
09/20 Away W Michigan 49.5 13-14 Under -22.5
09/27 Home Akron 51.0 45-3 Under -3.0
10/11 Away Bowling Green 46.0 23-28 Over +5.0
10/18 Home Kent St 48.5 45-10 Over +6.5
10/25 Away Washington St 45.5 7-28 Under -10.5
11/05 Home N Illinois 41.5 42-3 Over +3.5
11/12 Away Miami OH 44.5 24-3 Under -17.5
11/22 Home Ball St 44.5 38-9 Over +2.5
11/29 Away C Michigan 46.5 21-3 Under -22.5
12/23 Neutral Louisville 44.5 22-27 Over +4.5

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/30 Home E Kentucky 56.5 51-17 Over +11.5
09/05 Home J Madison 56.5 28-14 Under -14.5
09/20 Home Bowling Green 51.0 40-17 Over +6.0
09/27 Away Pittsburgh 54.0 34-27 Over +7.0
10/04 Home Virginia 60.5 27-30 Under -3.5
10/17 Away Miami 49.5 24-21 Under -4.5
10/25 Home Boston College 54.5 38-24 Over +7.5
11/01 Away Virginia Tech 53.5 28-16 Under -9.5
11/08 Home California 49.0 26-29 Over +6.0
11/14 Home Clemson 51.0 19-20 Under -12.0
11/22 Away SMU 50.0 6-38 Under -6.0
11/29 Home Kentucky 45.5 41-0 Under -4.5
12/23 Neutral Toledo 44.5 27-22 Over +4.5