Boca Raton Bowl: Toledo vs. Louisville: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Dec 23, 2025 2:00 pm - Boca Raton, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Louisville by 12.5, Total Points: 44.5

Matchup Menu: TOL vs. LOU

More Games From Bowl Week

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Louisville -12.5 Official TR Pick Louisville 51% odds to cover
Louisville -12.5 Similar Games Louisville 61% odds to cover
Louisville -12.5 Decision Tree Louisville 51% odds to cover
Toledo +12.5 Power Ratings Toledo 85% odds to cover
Toledo +12.5 Predictive Ratings Toledo 66% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TOL adv LOU
Season 9-4-0 4-9-0
vs Conference 4-3-0 3-5-0
Streak W2 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 1-4-0
Last 10 6-4-0 4-6-0
Home 5-1-0 1-7-0
Away 4-3-0 3-2-0

Toledo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Away Kentucky +10.0 L by 8 +2.0
09/06 Home W Kentucky -8.0 W by 24 +16.0
09/13 Home Morgan St -33.5 W by 60 +26.5
09/20 Away W Michigan -13.0 L by 1 -14.0
09/27 Home Akron -21.5 W by 42 +20.5
10/11 Away Bowling Green -11.0 L by 5 -16.0
10/18 Home Kent St -25.0 W by 35 +10.0
10/25 Away Washington St -1.5 L by 21 -22.5
11/05 Home N Illinois -15.5 W by 39 +23.5
11/12 Away Miami OH -5.5 W by 21 +15.5
11/22 Home Ball St -29.5 W by 29 -0.5
11/29 Away C Michigan -11.0 W by 18 +7.0
12/23 Neutral Louisville +12.5 L by 5 +7.5

Louisville Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Home E Kentucky -38.5 W by 34 -4.5
09/05 Home J Madison -15.0 W by 14 -1.0
09/20 Home Bowling Green -26.5 W by 23 -3.5
09/27 Away Pittsburgh -3.0 W by 7 +4.0
10/04 Home Virginia -6.0 L by 3 -9.0
10/17 Away Miami +10.0 W by 3 +13.0
10/25 Home Boston College -25.5 W by 14 -11.5
11/01 Away Virginia Tech -10.5 W by 12 +1.5
11/08 Home California -18.0 L by 3 -21.0
11/14 Home Clemson -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
11/22 Away SMU +3.5 L by 32 -28.5
11/29 Home Kentucky (Pick) W by 41 +41.0
12/23 Neutral Toledo -12.5 W by 5 -7.5