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North Carolina at NC State: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 7:00 pm - Raleigh, NC
Odds: NC State by 8, Total Points: 155.5

Matchup Menu: UNC @ NCST

More Games From Feb 17, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 155.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 155.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 155.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UNC	NCST
Season	14-19-0	21-13-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-9-0	14-6-0
Streak	Ov 2	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	4-1-0
Last 10	3-7-0	6-4-0
Home	6-12-0	8-8-0
Away	8-7-0	13-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

North Carolina Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	C Arkansas	157.5	94-54	Under	-9.5
11/07	Home	Kansas	158.0	87-74	Over	+3.0
11/11	Home	Radford	163.5	89-74	Under	-0.5
11/14	Home	NC Central	159.5	97-53	Under	-9.5
11/18	Home	Navy	161.0	73-61	Under	-27.0
11/25	Neutral	St Bonaventure	151.5	85-70	Over	+3.5
11/27	Neutral	Michigan St	152.5	58-74	Under	-20.5
12/02	Away	Kentucky	163.5	67-64	Under	-32.5
12/07	Home	Georgetown	149.5	81-61	Under	-7.5
12/13	Home	SC Upstate	152.5	80-62	Under	-10.5
12/16	Home	E Tennessee St	150.5	77-58	Under	-15.5
12/20	Neutral	Ohio St	157.5	71-70	Under	-16.5
12/22	Home	E Carolina	144.5	99-51	Over	+5.5
12/30	Home	Florida St	166.5	79-66	Under	-21.5
01/03	Away	SMU	155.5	83-97	Over	+24.5
01/10	Home	Wake Forest	155.0	87-84	Over	+16.0
01/14	Away	Stanford	148.0	90-95	Over	+37.0
01/17	Away	California	151.0	78-84	Over	+11.0
01/21	Home	Notre Dame	149.0	91-69	Over	+11.0
01/24	Away	Virginia	148.5	85-80	Over	+16.5
01/31	Away	Georgia Tech	159.5	91-75	Over	+6.5
02/02	Home	Syracuse	158.0	87-77	Over	+6.0
02/07	Home	Duke	151.5	71-68	Under	-12.5
02/10	Away	Miami	156.5	66-75	Under	-15.5
02/14	Home	Pittsburgh	144.5	79-65	Under	-0.5
02/17	Away	NC State	155.5	58-82	Under	-15.5
02/21	Away	Syracuse	154.0	77-64	Under	-13.0
02/23	Home	Louisville	162.5	77-74	Under	-11.5
02/28	Home	Virginia Tech	149.5	89-82	Over	+21.5
03/03	Home	Clemson	141.5	67-63	Under	-11.5
03/07	Away	Duke	147.5	61-76	Under	-10.5
03/12	Neutral	Clemson	140.5	79-80	Over	+18.5
03/19	Neutral	VCU	150.5	78-82	Over	+9.5

NC State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	NC Central	145.0	114-66	Over	+35.0
11/07	Home	UAB	162.5	94-70	Over	+1.5
11/12	Home	NC Greensboro	153.5	110-64	Over	+20.5
11/17	Home	VCU	164.5	85-79	Under	-0.5
11/24	Neutral	Seton Hall	143.5	74-85	Over	+15.5
11/25	Neutral	Boise St	154.0	81-70	Under	-3.0
11/26	Neutral	Texas	161.5	97-102	Over	+37.5
12/03	Away	Auburn	162.5	73-83	Under	-6.5
12/06	Home	NC Asheville	155.5	75-63	Under	-17.5
12/10	Home	Liberty	149.5	85-45	Under	-19.5
12/13	Home	Kansas	148.5	76-77	Over	+4.5
12/17	Neutral	Texas So	152.5	108-72	Over	+27.5
12/21	Neutral	Mississippi	148.5	76-62	Under	-10.5
12/31	Home	Wake Forest	159.5	70-57	Under	-32.5
01/03	Home	Virginia	151.5	61-76	Under	-14.5
01/06	Away	Boston College	142.0	79-71	Over	+8.0
01/10	Away	Florida St	160.0	113-69	Over	+22.0
01/17	Home	Georgia Tech	154.5	74-78	Under	-2.5
01/20	Away	Clemson	142.0	80-76	Over	+14.0
01/24	Away	Pittsburgh	146.0	81-72	Over	+7.0
01/27	Home	Syracuse	151.5	88-68	Over	+4.5
01/31	Away	Wake Forest	154.5	96-78	Over	+19.5
02/03	Away	SMU	159.5	84-83	Over	+7.5
02/07	Home	Virginia Tech	152.0	82-73	Over	+3.0
02/09	Away	Louisville	161.5	77-118	Over	+33.5
02/14	Home	Miami	158.0	76-77	Under	-5.0
02/17	Home	North Carolina	155.5	82-58	Under	-15.5
02/24	Away	Virginia	152.5	61-90	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Notre Dame	154.5	90-96	Over	+31.5
03/02	Home	Duke	150.5	64-93	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Stanford	152.5	84-85	Over	+16.5
03/11	Neutral	Pittsburgh	144.5	98-88	Over	+41.5
03/12	Neutral	Virginia	153.5	74-81	Over	+1.5
03/17	Neutral	Texas	158.5	66-68	Under	-24.5