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North Carolina at NC State: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 7:00 pm - Raleigh, NC
Odds: NC State by 8, Total Points: 155.5

Matchup Menu: UNC @ NCST

More Games From Feb 17, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
North Carolina +8.0 Official TR Pick North Carolina 50% odds to cover
North Carolina +8.0 Power Rating Model North Carolina 85% odds to cover
North Carolina +8.0 Decision Tree North Carolina 50% odds to cover
North Carolina +8.0 Predictive Ratings North Carolina 68% odds to cover
NC State -8.0 Similar Games NC State 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UNC adv NCST
Season 19-14-0 16-17-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-8-0 9-10-1
Streak L1 L2
Last 5 3-2-0 1-4-0
Last 10 6-4-0 2-8-0
Home 12-6-0 7-8-1
Away 7-8-0 9-9-0

North Carolina Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home C Arkansas -31.0 W by 40 +9.0
11/07 Home Kansas -3.0 W by 13 +10.0
11/11 Home Radford -20.0 W by 15 -5.0
11/14 Home NC Central -34.0 W by 44 +10.0
11/18 Home Navy -26.5 W by 12 -14.5
11/25 Neutral St Bonaventure -11.0 W by 15 +4.0
11/27 Neutral Michigan St +1.0 L by 16 -15.0
12/02 Away Kentucky +7.5 W by 3 +10.5
12/07 Home Georgetown -10.5 W by 20 +9.5
12/13 Home SC Upstate -29.5 W by 18 -11.5
12/16 Home E Tennessee St -17.5 W by 19 +1.5
12/20 Neutral Ohio St -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
12/22 Home E Carolina -25.5 W by 48 +22.5
12/30 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 13 +1.0
01/03 Away SMU +1.0 L by 14 -13.0
01/10 Home Wake Forest -10.0 W by 3 -7.0
01/14 Away Stanford -4.0 L by 5 -9.0
01/17 Away California -7.5 L by 6 -13.5
01/21 Home Notre Dame -13.5 W by 22 +8.5
01/24 Away Virginia +6.5 W by 5 +11.5
01/31 Away Georgia Tech -10.5 W by 16 +5.5
02/02 Home Syracuse -11.5 W by 10 -1.5
02/07 Home Duke +6.0 W by 3 +9.0
02/10 Away Miami -1.0 L by 9 -10.0
02/14 Home Pittsburgh -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
02/17 Away NC State +8.0 L by 24 -16.0
02/21 Away Syracuse +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
02/23 Home Louisville +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
02/28 Home Virginia Tech -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/03 Home Clemson -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
03/07 Away Duke +18.5 L by 15 +3.5
03/12 Neutral Clemson +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
03/19 Neutral VCU -2.5 L by 4 -6.5

NC State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home NC Central -31.0 W by 48 +17.0
11/07 Home UAB -20.0 W by 24 +4.0
11/12 Home NC Greensboro -30.5 W by 46 +15.5
11/17 Home VCU -11.5 W by 6 -5.5
11/24 Neutral Seton Hall -7.5 L by 11 -18.5
11/25 Neutral Boise St -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
11/26 Neutral Texas -1.0 L by 5 -6.0
12/03 Away Auburn +5.5 L by 10 -4.5
12/06 Home NC Asheville -28.0 W by 12 -16.0
12/10 Home Liberty -12.5 W by 40 +27.5
12/13 Home Kansas -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
12/17 Neutral Texas So -34.0 W by 36 +2.0
12/21 Neutral Mississippi -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
12/31 Home Wake Forest -10.0 W by 13 +3.0
01/03 Home Virginia -4.0 L by 15 -19.0
01/06 Away Boston College -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
01/10 Away Florida St -4.5 W by 44 +39.5
01/17 Home Georgia Tech -17.5 L by 4 -21.5
01/20 Away Clemson +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
01/24 Away Pittsburgh -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
01/27 Home Syracuse -11.0 W by 20 +9.0
01/31 Away Wake Forest -6.0 W by 18 +12.0
02/03 Away SMU (Pick) W by 1 +1.0
02/07 Home Virginia Tech -9.0 W by 9 0.0
02/09 Away Louisville +7.5 L by 41 -33.5
02/14 Home Miami -6.5 L by 1 -7.5
02/17 Home North Carolina -8.0 W by 24 +16.0
02/24 Away Virginia +6.5 L by 29 -22.5
02/28 Away Notre Dame -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
03/02 Home Duke +9.5 L by 29 -19.5
03/07 Home Stanford -9.5 L by 1 -10.5
03/11 Neutral Pittsburgh -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
03/12 Neutral Virginia +6.5 L by 7 -0.5
03/17 Neutral Texas -1.5 L by 2 -3.5