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North Carolina at NC State: Recap

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 7:00 pm - Raleigh, NC
Odds: NC State by 8, Total Points: 155.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
NC State UNC 24.0%
NCST 76.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
UNC +8.0 UNC 50.4%
NCST 49.6%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 155.5 Over 47.6%
Under 52.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off UNC -1.2%
NCST -2.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
UNC 73.3 73.8 58
NCST 81.2 81.8 82

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat UNC NCST
Points/Game 79.7 83.2
Avg Score Margin +8.1 +6.9
Assists/Game 16.0 15.4
Total Rebounds/Gm 38.2 34.5
Effective FG % 54.3% 55.0%
Off Rebound % 28.8% 26.4%
FTA/FGA 0.371 0.351
Turnover % 12.0% 11.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat UNC NCST
Opp Points/Game 71.6 76.3
Opp Effective FG % 48.3% 52.7%
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.9 8.5
Def Rebounds/Gm 25.9 22.8
Blocks/Game 3.4 3.4
Steals/Game 5.4 8.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 14.7 18.2