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Louisville at SMU: Recap

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 7:00 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Louisville by 4, Total Points: 168

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Louisville LOU 60.7%
SMU 39.3%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
SMU +4.0 LOU 47.7%
SMU 52.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 168.0 Over 47.9%
Under 52.1%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
SMU +161 LOU -4.2%
SMU +1.0%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
LOU 85.2 86.0 85
SMU 81.8 82.0 95

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU SMU
Points/Game 84.3 84.1
Avg Score Margin +11.7 +6.1
Assists/Game 17.1 16.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 38.3 37.6
Effective FG % 56.5% 55.6%
Off Rebound % 31.6% 32.8%
FTA/FGA 0.331 0.304
Turnover % 14.5% 13.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU SMU
Opp Points/Game 72.5 77.9
Opp Effective FG % 48.7% 51.6%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.1 10.3
Def Rebounds/Gm 25.9 23.9
Blocks/Game 3.3 3.6
Steals/Game 6.8 7.0
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.5 17.0