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UMass at Ball St: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Feb 24, 2026 7:00 pm - Muncie, IN
Odds: Massachusetts by 4.5, Total Points: 143.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
UMass -4.5 Official TR Pick UMass 51% odds to cover
UMass -4.5 Power Rating Model UMass 53% odds to cover
UMass -4.5 Similar Games UMass 52% odds to cover
UMass -4.5 Decision Tree UMass 51% odds to cover
Ball St +4.5 Predictive Ratings Ball St 50% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MASS adv BALL
Season 12-19-0 14-14-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 6-14-0 9-8-1
Streak L1 W5
Last 5 2-3-0 5-0-0
Last 10 3-7-0 7-3-0
Home 5-9-0 7-5-0
Away 7-10-0 7-9-1

UMass Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Marshall -4.5 L by 6 -10.5
11/08 Home Albany -10.5 W by 21 +10.5
11/13 Home Le Moyne -16.5 W by 14 -2.5
11/16 Home C Connecticut -11.0 W by 7 -4.0
11/21 Neutral Charleston +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
11/22 Neutral Green Bay -6.0 L by 4 -10.0
11/24 Neutral Oregon St +3.0 W by 8 +11.0
12/03 Home Harvard -6.0 W by 7 +1.0
12/06 Home UMass Lowell -11.5 W by 20 +8.5
12/10 Neutral Boston College +1.0 W by 2 +3.0
12/13 Neutral Florida St +13.0 W by 8 +21.0
12/20 Home Kent St +1.5 L by 10 -8.5
12/22 Home Massachusetts-Boston -- W by 51 --
12/30 Away E Michigan -2.5 L by 6 -8.5
01/03 Home Bowling Green +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
01/06 Away Ohio +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
01/10 Home Ball St -10.0 W by 8 -2.0
01/13 Away W Michigan -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
01/17 Away N Illinois -8.0 L by 2 -10.0
01/20 Home Toledo -2.5 W by 2 -0.5
01/23 Away Buffalo -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
01/27 Away Miami OH +9.5 L by 2 +7.5
01/31 Home E Michigan -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/03 Home C Michigan -11.0 W by 6 -5.0
02/07 Away Coastal Car -1.0 L by 3 -4.0
02/13 Away Akron +12.5 L by 7 +5.5
02/17 Home Miami OH +3.5 L by 9 -5.5
02/21 Home Buffalo -7.5 L by 4 -11.5
02/24 Away Ball St -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
02/28 Away Bowling Green +3.5 L by 19 -15.5
03/03 Home Ohio -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
03/12 Neutral Miami OH +6.5 W by 4 +10.5
03/13 Neutral Toledo +2.5 L by 10 -7.5

Ball St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Louisiana -4.0 W by 11 +7.0
11/07 Home Mansfield -- W by 30 --
11/11 Away Wisconsin +26.5 L by 31 -4.5
11/15 Home Little Rock -2.5 L by 6 -8.5
11/22 Away Indiana St +7.5 L by 18 -10.5
11/28 Neutral Monmouth +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
11/29 Away Lafayette -2.0 L by 18 -20.0
11/30 Neutral Le Moyne +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
12/03 Away Evansville +6.0 L by 12 -6.0
12/09 Home S Dakota St +5.5 L by 4 +1.5
12/14 Away Campbell +8.5 L by 5 +3.5
12/20 Home Miami OH +7.5 L by 9 -1.5
12/29 Home Earlham -- W by 63 --
01/03 Away Buffalo +6.0 L by 13 -7.0
01/06 Home E Michigan -1.0 L by 22 -23.0
01/10 Away UMass +10.0 L by 8 +2.0
01/13 Away Akron +20.5 L by 10 +10.5
01/16 Home Ohio +5.0 W by 5 +10.0
01/20 Away C Michigan -1.0 W by 1 0.0
01/24 Home N Illinois -6.0 W by 5 -1.0
01/31 Away Toledo +8.5 L by 18 -9.5
02/03 Away Bowling Green +10.5 L by 25 -14.5
02/07 Away UL Monroe +16.5 W by 5 +21.5
02/11 Home Buffalo +1.5 L by 10 -8.5
02/14 Home Kent St +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/17 Away Ohio +10.0 L by 12 -2.0
02/20 Home Akron +14.0 L by 13 +1.0
02/24 Home UMass +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
02/28 Away N Illinois +1.5 W by 36 +37.5
03/03 Away W Michigan +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/06 Home C Michigan -2.5 W by 16 +13.5