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Southern Miss at Arkansas St: Recap

Tuesday Feb 24, 2026 8:30 pm - Jonesboro, AR
Odds: Arkansas State by 9.5, Total Points: 158.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Arkansas St USM 19.5%
ARST 80.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
USM +9.5 USM 50.1%
ARST 49.9%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 158.5 Over 52.3%
Under 47.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off USM -1.5%
ARST -2.9%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
USM 75.1 74.5 84
ARST 84.5 84.0 89

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat USM ARST
Points/Game 73.9 81.8
Avg Score Margin -0.9 +3.7
Assists/Game 11.2 15.3
Total Rebounds/Gm 35.9 41.8
Effective FG % 49.0% 51.7%
Off Rebound % 30.8% 37.8%
FTA/FGA 0.432 0.391
Turnover % 15.8% 16.6%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat USM ARST
Opp Points/Game 74.8 78.0
Opp Effective FG % 51.4% 50.3%
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.7 12.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 22.8 26.3
Blocks/Game 3.6 2.8
Steals/Game 7.3 7.2
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.4 18.9