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Tuesday Feb 24, 2026 8:30 pm -
Jonesboro, AR
Odds:
Arkansas State by 9.5,
Total Points:
158.5
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas St | USM | 19.5% | ||
| ARST | 80.5% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM +9.5 | USM | 50.1% | ||
| ARST | 49.9% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 158.5 | Over | 52.3% | ||
| Under | 47.7% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | USM | -1.5% | ||
| ARST | -2.9% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 75.1 | 74.5 | 84 |
| ARST | 84.5 | 84.0 | 89 |
| Stat | USM | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 73.9 | 81.8 |
| Avg Score Margin | -0.9 | +3.7 |
| Assists/Game | 11.2 | 15.3 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 35.9 | 41.8 |
| Effective FG % | 49.0% | 51.7% |
| Off Rebound % | 30.8% | 37.8% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.432 | 0.391 |
| Turnover % | 15.8% | 16.6% |
| Stat | USM | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 74.8 | 78.0 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.4% | 50.3% |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 9.7 | 12.8 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 22.8 | 26.3 |
| Blocks/Game | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| Steals/Game | 7.3 | 7.2 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 19.4 | 18.9 |
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