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NC State at Virginia: Recap

Tuesday Feb 24, 2026 7:00 pm - Charlottesville, VA
Odds: Virginia by 6.5, Total Points: 152.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Virginia NCST 27.6%
UVA 72.4%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
UVA -6.5 NCST 49.1%
UVA 50.9%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 151.5 Over 49.0%
Under 51.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off NCST -3.6%
UVA -0.9%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
NCST 72.1 72.5 61
UVA 78.9 79.0 90

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat NCST UVA
Points/Game 83.2 80.4
Avg Score Margin +6.9 +11.6
Assists/Game 15.4 16.3
Total Rebounds/Gm 34.5 40.0
Effective FG % 55.0% 54.6%
Off Rebound % 26.4% 36.8%
FTA/FGA 0.351 0.323
Turnover % 11.5% 13.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat NCST UVA
Opp Points/Game 76.3 68.8
Opp Effective FG % 52.7% 45.7%
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.5 11.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 22.8 24.9
Blocks/Game 3.4 6.4
Steals/Game 8.1 6.3
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.2 17.4