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Miami at Florida St: Recap

Tuesday Feb 24, 2026 9:00 pm - Tallahassee, FL
Odds: Miami by 2.5, Total Points: 153.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 53.9%
FSU 46.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
FSU +2.5 MIA 47.1%
FSU 52.9%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 153.5 Over 49.0%
Under 51.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
FSU +118 MIA -5.3%
FSU +0.2%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 77.4 78.0 83
FSU 75.7 75.5 73

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA FSU
Points/Game 81.5 80.4
Avg Score Margin +10.3 +2.4
Assists/Game 16.2 14.3
Total Rebounds/Gm 37.4 35.3
Effective FG % 55.3% 52.3%
Off Rebound % 34.4% 29.3%
FTA/FGA 0.371 0.347
Turnover % 13.8% 13.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA FSU
Opp Points/Game 71.3 77.9
Opp Effective FG % 51.7% 52.2%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.4 9.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 23.7 22.2
Blocks/Game 3.3 3.9
Steals/Game 7.9 7.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 15.5 18.3