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Dayton at NC Wilmington: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Mar 21, 2026 7:00 pm - Wilmington, NC
Odds: Dayton by 3.5, Total Points: 139.5

Matchup Menu: DAY @ UNCW

More Games From Mar 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 138.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 138.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go over
Over 138.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	DAY	UNCW
Season	13-24-0	18-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	5-16-0	11-8-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	2-8-0	5-5-0
Home	4-14-0	8-9-0
Away	9-10-0	10-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Dayton Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Canisius	142.0	88-48	Under	-6.0
11/08	Home	UMBC	154.5	77-71	Under	-6.5
11/11	Away	Cincinnati	148.5	62-74	Under	-12.5
11/15	Home	Bethune	148.5	91-82	Over	+24.5
11/19	Away	Marquette	151.5	77-71	Under	-3.5
11/22	Home	NC Central	148.5	74-55	Under	-19.5
11/27	Neutral	Georgetown	145.0	84-79	Over	+18.0
11/28	Neutral	BYU	150.5	79-83	Over	+11.5
12/02	Home	E Tennessee St	140.5	88-71	Over	+18.5
12/06	Neutral	Virginia	147.5	73-86	Over	+11.5
12/13	Home	N Florida	159.5	84-61	Under	-14.5
12/16	Home	Florida St	163.0	97-69	Over	+3.0
12/20	Home	Liberty	142.5	61-64	Under	-17.5
12/31	Home	Fordham	140.5	63-56	Under	-21.5
01/03	Away	Loyola Chi	142.0	70-68	Under	-4.0
01/06	Home	G Washington	154.0	79-72	Under	-3.0
01/13	Away	Duquesne	152.5	71-65	Under	-16.5
01/16	Home	Loyola Chi	142.5	78-51	Under	-13.5
01/21	Away	La Salle	137.5	64-67	Under	-6.5
01/24	Away	Saint Joseph's	139.5	74-81	Over	+15.5
01/27	Home	Rhode Island	139.0	76-81	Over	+18.0
01/30	Away	Saint Louis	152.5	71-102	Over	+20.5
02/03	Home	St Bonaventure	145.0	72-70	Under	-3.0
02/06	Away	VCU	147.5	73-99	Over	+24.5
02/15	Home	Davidson	140.5	70-59	Under	-11.5
02/18	Away	George Mason	137.0	82-67	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Duquesne	148.5	78-66	Under	-4.5
02/24	Home	Saint Louis	157.5	77-62	Under	-18.5
02/27	Away	G Washington	152.5	68-66	Under	-18.5
03/03	Away	Richmond	144.5	65-60	Under	-19.5
03/06	Home	VCU	145.5	62-68	Under	-15.5
03/13	Neutral	St Bonaventure	142.5	68-63	Under	-11.5
03/14	Neutral	Saint Louis	145.5	70-69	Under	-6.5
03/15	Neutral	VCU	138.5	62-70	Under	-6.5
03/18	Away	Bradley	140.5	80-66	Over	+5.5
03/21	Away	NC Wilmington	139.5	80-61	Over	+1.5
03/25	Home	Illinois St	140.5	55-61	Under	-24.5

NC Wilmington Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Mount Olive	--	106-77	Under	--
11/10	Away	Kent St	156.5	77-86	Over	+6.5
11/15	Home	SC Upstate	155.5	73-60	Under	-22.5
11/18	Home	E Carolina	145.5	85-60	Under	-0.5
11/21	Away	Radford	151.5	81-73	Over	+2.5
11/26	Home	SE Louisiana	137.5	70-57	Under	-10.5
11/28	Home	Navy	138.5	87-57	Over	+5.5
11/29	Home	Gardner-Webb	147.0	88-62	Over	+3.0
12/03	Home	Marshall	150.5	70-69	Under	-11.5
12/06	Away	Louisiana	130.5	70-63	Over	+2.5
12/13	Away	Valparaiso	137.0	73-70	Over	+6.0
12/20	Home	Howard	141.5	66-67	Under	-8.5
12/27	Home	Columbia College (SC)	--	100-56	Under	--
12/29	Away	NC A&T	146.5	87-78	Over	+18.5
12/31	Home	Drexel	138.5	65-53	Under	-20.5
01/03	Home	Hampton	140.5	49-45	Under	-46.5
01/08	Away	Northeastern	142.5	87-78	Over	+22.5
01/10	Away	Stony Brook	133.5	75-71	Over	+12.5
01/17	Home	Campbell	150.0	78-75	Over	+3.0
01/22	Away	William & Mary	157.0	70-77	Under	-10.0
01/24	Away	Hampton	137.5	75-67	Over	+4.5
01/29	Away	Towson	135.0	82-73	Over	+20.0
02/05	Home	William & Mary	157.5	78-85	Over	+5.5
02/09	Away	Charleston	149.5	76-64	Under	-9.5
02/12	Home	Elon	151.0	65-54	Under	-32.0
02/14	Home	Hofstra	138.0	70-66	Under	-2.0
02/19	Home	Monmouth	144.5	79-69	Over	+3.5
02/21	Away	Campbell	150.5	73-68	Under	-9.5
02/26	Home	NC A&T	146.5	88-65	Over	+6.5
03/01	Home	Charleston	147.5	76-79	Over	+7.5
03/03	Away	Elon	145.5	76-57	Under	-12.5
03/08	Neutral	Campbell	149.5	70-85	Over	+5.5
03/17	Away	Yale	148.5	68-67	Under	-13.5
03/21	Home	Dayton	139.5	61-80	Over	+1.5