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Dayton at NC Wilmington: Recap

Saturday Mar 21, 2026 7:00 pm - Wilmington, NC
Odds: Dayton by 3.5, Total Points: 139.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Dayton DAY 60.0%
UNCW 40.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
UNCW +3.5 DAY 48.9%
UNCW 51.1%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 138.5 Over 50.6%
Under 49.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off DAY -3.6%
UNCW -0.9%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
DAY 71.0 71.0 80
UNCW 67.8 67.5 61

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat DAY UNCW
Points/Game 74.1 74.6
Avg Score Margin +4.8 +6.5
Assists/Game 14.2 13.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 32.9 39.1
Effective FG % 51.6% 50.4%
Off Rebound % 25.0% 34.4%
FTA/FGA 0.462 0.404
Turnover % 14.9% 12.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat DAY UNCW
Opp Points/Game 69.3 68.1
Opp Effective FG % 51.0% 47.5%
Off Rebounds/Gm 7.6 11.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 22.7 24.5
Blocks/Game 3.9 2.4
Steals/Game 8.2 5.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.7 17.3