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Louisville vs. Michigan St: Recap

Saturday Mar 21, 2026 2:45 pm - Buffalo, NY (Neutral Site)
Odds: Michigan State by 5.5, Total Points: 151.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Michigan St LOU 29.9%
MSU 70.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MSU -5.5 LOU 48.0%
MSU 52.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 151.5 Over 44.3%
Under 55.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off LOU -4.0%
MSU 0.0%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
LOU 71.5 73.0 69
MSU 77.5 78.5 77

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU MSU
Points/Game 84.3 78.8
Avg Score Margin +11.7 +10.5
Assists/Game 17.1 18.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 38.3 39.7
Effective FG % 56.5% 53.8%
Off Rebound % 31.6% 36.3%
FTA/FGA 0.331 0.359
Turnover % 14.5% 14.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU MSU
Opp Points/Game 72.5 68.3
Opp Effective FG % 48.7% 48.9%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.1 10.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 25.9 25.9
Blocks/Game 3.3 4.1
Steals/Game 6.8 5.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.5 16.0