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Dayton at NC Wilmington: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Mar 21, 2026 7:00 pm - Wilmington, NC
Odds: Dayton by 3.5, Total Points: 139.5

Matchup Menu: DAY @ UNCW

More Games From Mar 21, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
NC Wilmington +3.5 Official TR Pick NC Wilmington 51% odds to cover
NC Wilmington +3.5 Power Rating Model NC Wilmington 57% odds to cover
NC Wilmington +3.5 Similar Games NC Wilmington 58% odds to cover
NC Wilmington +3.5 Decision Tree NC Wilmington 51% odds to cover
NC Wilmington +3.5 Predictive Ratings NC Wilmington 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record DAY adv UNCW
Season 18-19-0 16-14-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 10-11-0 10-8-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 7-3-0
Home 8-10-0 8-8-1
Away 10-9-0 8-6-1

Dayton Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Canisius -25.5 W by 40 +14.5
11/08 Home UMBC -25.5 W by 6 -19.5
11/11 Away Cincinnati +6.0 L by 12 -6.0
11/15 Home Bethune -21.5 W by 9 -12.5
11/19 Away Marquette +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
11/22 Home NC Central -28.0 W by 19 -9.0
11/27 Neutral Georgetown -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
11/28 Neutral BYU +9.5 L by 4 +5.5
12/02 Home E Tennessee St -11.5 W by 17 +5.5
12/06 Neutral Virginia +4.5 L by 13 -8.5
12/13 Home N Florida -31.5 W by 23 -8.5
12/16 Home Florida St -7.0 W by 28 +21.0
12/20 Home Liberty -9.5 L by 3 -12.5
12/31 Home Fordham -16.0 W by 7 -9.0
01/03 Away Loyola Chi -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
01/06 Home G Washington -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
01/13 Away Duquesne -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/16 Home Loyola Chi -16.5 W by 27 +10.5
01/21 Away La Salle -10.5 L by 3 -13.5
01/24 Away Saint Joseph's -6.5 L by 7 -13.5
01/27 Home Rhode Island -8.5 L by 5 -13.5
01/30 Away Saint Louis +9.5 L by 31 -21.5
02/03 Home St Bonaventure -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
02/06 Away VCU +8.5 L by 26 -17.5
02/15 Home Davidson -5.0 W by 11 +6.0
02/18 Away George Mason +2.0 W by 15 +17.0
02/21 Home Duquesne -7.0 W by 12 +5.0
02/24 Home Saint Louis +3.5 W by 15 +18.5
02/27 Away G Washington +2.5 W by 2 +4.5
03/03 Away Richmond -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
03/06 Home VCU -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
03/13 Neutral St Bonaventure -5.5 W by 5 -0.5
03/14 Neutral Saint Louis +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
03/15 Neutral VCU +2.5 L by 8 -5.5
03/18 Away Bradley -2.5 W by 14 +11.5
03/21 Away NC Wilmington -3.5 W by 19 +15.5
03/25 Home Illinois St -7.5 L by 6 -13.5

NC Wilmington Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mount Olive -- W by 29 --
11/10 Away Kent St +3.0 L by 9 -6.0
11/15 Home SC Upstate -15.0 W by 13 -2.0
11/18 Home E Carolina -6.5 W by 25 +18.5
11/21 Away Radford -4.5 W by 8 +3.5
11/26 Home SE Louisiana -11.5 W by 13 +1.5
11/28 Home Navy -8.5 W by 30 +21.5
11/29 Home Gardner-Webb -19.0 W by 26 +7.0
12/03 Home Marshall -8.5 W by 1 -7.5
12/06 Away Louisiana -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
12/13 Away Valparaiso -3.0 W by 3 0.0
12/20 Home Howard -16.0 L by 1 -17.0
12/27 Home Columbia College (SC) -- W by 44 --
12/29 Away NC A&T -10.5 W by 9 -1.5
12/31 Home Drexel -12.0 W by 12 0.0
01/03 Home Hampton -13.0 W by 4 -9.0
01/08 Away Northeastern -4.5 W by 9 +4.5
01/10 Away Stony Brook -7.0 W by 4 -3.0
01/17 Home Campbell -6.0 W by 3 -3.0
01/22 Away William & Mary +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/24 Away Hampton -3.0 W by 8 +5.0
01/29 Away Towson +1.0 W by 9 +10.0
02/05 Home William & Mary -4.5 L by 7 -11.5
02/09 Away Charleston +1.0 W by 12 +13.0
02/12 Home Elon -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
02/14 Home Hofstra -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
02/19 Home Monmouth -8.0 W by 10 +2.0
02/21 Away Campbell -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
02/26 Home NC A&T -13.5 W by 23 +9.5
03/01 Home Charleston -5.5 L by 3 -8.5
03/03 Away Elon -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
03/08 Neutral Campbell -6.5 L by 15 -21.5
03/17 Away Yale +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
03/21 Home Dayton +3.5 L by 19 -15.5