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Louisville at Tennessee: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Dec 16, 2025 7:00 pm - Knoxville, TN
Odds: Tennessee by 4.5, Total Points: 156.5

Matchup Menu: LOU @ TENN

More Games From Dec 16, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 157.0	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 157.0	Similar Games	51% odds to go over
Over 157.0	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	LOU	TENN
Season	15-20-0	18-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	8-12-0	9-11-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	3-7-0
Home	6-11-0	10-7-0
Away	9-9-0	8-12-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Carolina St	159.0	104-45	Under	-10.0
11/06	Home	Jackson St	165.5	106-70	Over	+10.5
11/11	Home	Kentucky	173.0	96-88	Over	+11.0
11/15	Home	Ohio	175.0	106-81	Over	+12.0
11/21	Neutral	Cincinnati	164.0	74-64	Under	-26.0
11/24	Home	E Michigan	162.5	87-46	Under	-29.5
11/26	Home	NJIT	158.5	104-47	Under	-7.5
12/03	Away	Arkansas	166.5	80-89	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Indiana	162.5	87-78	Over	+2.5
12/13	Home	Memphis	162.5	99-73	Over	+9.5
12/16	Away	Tennessee	156.5	62-83	Under	-11.5
12/20	Home	Montana	165.0	94-54	Under	-17.0
12/30	Away	California	159.0	90-70	Over	+1.0
01/02	Away	Stanford	157.5	76-80	Under	-1.5
01/06	Home	Duke	160.5	73-84	Under	-3.5
01/10	Home	Boston College	151.0	75-62	Under	-14.0
01/13	Home	Virginia	155.0	70-79	Under	-6.0
01/17	Away	Pittsburgh	152.5	100-59	Over	+6.5
01/24	Home	Virginia Tech	160.5	85-71	Under	-4.5
01/26	Away	Duke	157.0	52-83	Under	-22.0
01/31	Home	SMU	161.5	88-74	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Notre Dame	156.5	76-65	Under	-15.5
02/07	Away	Wake Forest	160.5	88-80	Over	+7.5
02/09	Home	NC State	161.5	118-77	Over	+33.5
02/14	Neutral	Baylor	162.5	82-71	Under	-9.5
02/17	Away	SMU	168.0	85-95	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Georgia Tech	167.5	87-70	Under	-10.5
02/23	Away	North Carolina	162.5	74-77	Under	-11.5
02/28	Away	Clemson	146.5	75-80	Over	+8.5
03/03	Home	Syracuse	159.5	77-62	Under	-20.5
03/07	Away	Miami	155.5	92-89	Over	+25.5
03/11	Neutral	SMU	164.5	62-58	Under	-44.5
03/12	Neutral	Miami	152.5	73-78	Under	-1.5
03/19	Neutral	S Florida	160.5	83-79	Over	+1.5
03/21	Neutral	Michigan St	151.5	69-77	Under	-5.5

Tennessee Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Mercer	143.0	76-61	Under	-6.0
11/08	Home	N Kentucky	138.0	95-56	Over	+13.0
11/12	Home	N Florida	155.5	99-66	Over	+9.5
11/17	Home	Rice	143.5	91-66	Over	+13.5
11/20	Home	Tennessee St	157.5	89-60	Under	-8.5
11/24	Neutral	Rutgers	142.5	85-60	Over	+2.5
11/25	Neutral	Houston	136.0	76-73	Over	+13.0
11/26	Neutral	Kansas	140.5	76-81	Over	+16.5
12/02	Away	Syracuse	147.0	60-62	Under	-25.0
12/06	Neutral	Illinois	149.5	62-75	Under	-12.5
12/16	Home	Louisville	156.5	83-62	Under	-11.5
12/21	Home	Gardner-Webb	152.5	94-52	Under	-6.5
12/30	Home	S Carolina St	147.5	105-54	Over	+11.5
01/03	Away	Arkansas	158.5	75-86	Over	+2.5
01/06	Home	Texas	153.0	85-71	Over	+3.0
01/10	Away	Florida	151.5	67-91	Over	+6.5
01/13	Home	Texas A&M	159.5	87-82	Over	+9.5
01/17	Home	Kentucky	145.0	78-80	Over	+13.0
01/24	Away	Alabama	167.5	79-73	Under	-15.5
01/28	Away	Georgia	159.0	86-85	Over	+12.0
01/31	Home	Auburn	148.0	77-69	Under	-2.0
02/03	Home	Mississippi	140.5	84-66	Over	+9.5
02/07	Away	Kentucky	146.0	71-74	Under	-1.0
02/11	Away	Mississippi St	147.5	73-64	Under	-10.5
02/14	Home	LSU	143.5	73-63	Under	-7.5
02/18	Home	Oklahoma	150.0	89-66	Over	+5.0
02/21	Away	Vanderbilt	150.5	69-65	Under	-16.5
02/24	Away	Missouri	144.5	69-73	Under	-2.5
02/28	Home	Alabama	162.5	69-71	Under	-22.5
03/03	Away	South Carolina	141.5	78-59	Under	-4.5
03/07	Home	Vanderbilt	146.5	82-86	Over	+21.5
03/12	Neutral	Auburn	145.5	72-62	Under	-11.5
03/13	Neutral	Vanderbilt	147.5	68-75	Under	-4.5
03/20	Neutral	Miami OH	148.5	78-56	Under	-14.5
03/22	Neutral	Virginia	137.5	79-72	Over	+13.5
03/27	Neutral	Iowa St	140.5	76-62	Under	-2.5
03/29	Neutral	Michigan	146.5	62-95	Over	+10.5